Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner

3 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold WRAITH PCIFIC (50%) · WRAITH PCIFIC at 100¢ · $406 held · ends Oct 31

WRAITH PCIFIC>99¢Nuclear TigeRES<1¢Ends Sat, Oct 31, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

WRAITH PCIFIC

Consensus Traders

WRAITH PCIFIC 50%

Total Value

$406.28

Combined PnL

-$263.43

Smart Money Entry

99¢ → 100¢

+1% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

NeutralWRAITH PCIFIC at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

WRAITH PCIFIC

3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

WRAITH PCIFIC100%

Nuclear TigeRES0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

WRAITH PCIFIC3 traders

Total Value$292.68

Total Shares585

Combined PnL-$286.69

Nuclear TigeRES3 traders

Total Value$113.6

Total Shares225

Combined PnL+$23.26

WRAITH PCIFIC — 50%Nuclear TigeRES — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LO looppau	WRAITH PCIFICavg 99.9¢	$499.5	$250	-$249.5	99% 10916-66 (10982)
dicekingCTR<$100	Nuclear TigeRESavg 50¢	$61.69	$61.69	+$0	58% 323-236 (559)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Nuclear TigeRESavg 27.6¢	$23.81	$43.27	+$19.46	49% 7973-8309 (16282)
MA MarquisDeMott<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 99.1¢	$76.31	$38.5	-$37.81	98% 3305-82 (3387)
poshposhCTR<$100	Nuclear TigeRESavg 28¢	$4.84	$8.64	+$3.8	59% 10176-7169 (17345)
AN anon122<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 42.6¢	$3.56	$4.18	+$0.62	45% 30-37 (67)

looppau

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$499.5

Value

$250

PnL

-$249.5

Record

99%

10916-66 (10982)

dicekingCTR<$100

Nuclear TigeRES

Invested

$61.69

Value

$61.69

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

323-236 (559)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Nuclear TigeRES

Invested

$23.81

Value

$43.27

PnL

+$19.46

Record

49%

7973-8309 (16282)

MarquisDeMott<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$76.31

Value

$38.5

PnL

-$37.81

Record

98%

3305-82 (3387)

poshposhCTR<$100

Nuclear TigeRES

Invested

$4.84

Value

$8.64

PnL

+$3.8

Record

59%

10176-7169 (17345)

anon122<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$3.56

Value

$4.18

PnL

+$0.62

Record

45%

30-37 (67)

Research grade

NeutralWRAITH PCIFIC at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

WRAITH PCIFIC

3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that WRAITH PCIFIC wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.