Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CyberClash Playoffs

1 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Nuclear TigeRES (13%) · Nuclear TigeRES at 81¢ · $4K held · ends Oct 31

WRAITH PCIFIC20¢Nuclear TigeRES80¢Ends Sat, Oct 31, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Nuclear TigeRES

Consensus Traders

Nuclear TigeRES 13%

Total Value

$3.5K

Combined PnL

-$4.13

Research grade

NeutralNuclear TigeRES at 81%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Nuclear TigeRES

1 of 8 top traders (13%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

WRAITH PCIFIC20%

Nuclear TigeRES81%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Nuclear TigeRES1 trader

Total Value$2.7K

Total Shares3,369

Combined PnL+$20.54

WRAITH PCIFIC7 traders

Total Value$825.14

Total Shares3,966

Combined PnL-$24.67

Nuclear TigeRES — 13%WRAITH PCIFIC — 87%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
JohnLKellyJr	Nuclear TigeRESavg 78.9¢	$2.7K	$2.7K	+$20.54	52% 1243-1129 (2372)
JU justaluckydudeCTR	WRAITH PCIFICavg 21¢	$381.06	$371.99	-$9.07	53% 10787-9396 (20183)
JO johnsonboyyCTR	WRAITH PCIFICavg 21.6¢	$146.02	$138.51	-$7.51	43% 40-53 (93)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR	WRAITH PCIFICavg 21¢	$105	$107.5	+$2.5	47% 2500-2799 (5299)
SP spartachioCTR<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 23¢	$94	$87.87	-$6.13	48% 699-753 (1452)
HRTradingCTR<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 21¢	$57.33	$55.96	-$1.37	53% 4546-4095 (8641)
CC ccllarCTR<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 23¢	$52.44	$49.02	-$3.42	46% 429-494 (923)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 21¢	$13.96	$14.29	+$0.33	49% 19146-19539 (38685)

JohnLKellyJr

Nuclear TigeRES

Invested

$2,658.02

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$20.54

Record

52%

1243-1129 (2372)

justaluckydudeCTR

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$381.06

Value

$371.99

PnL

-$9.07

Record

53%

10787-9396 (20183)

johnsonboyyCTR

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$146.02

Value

$138.51

PnL

-$7.51

Record

43%

40-53 (93)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$105

Value

$107.5

PnL

+$2.5

Record

47%

2500-2799 (5299)

spartachioCTR<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$94

Value

$87.87

PnL

-$6.13

Record

48%

699-753 (1452)

HRTradingCTR<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$57.33

Value

$55.96

PnL

-$1.37

Record

53%

4546-4095 (8641)

ccllarCTR<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$52.44

Value

$49.02

PnL

-$3.42

Record

46%

429-494 (923)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$13.96

Value

$14.29

PnL

+$0.33

Record

49%

19146-19539 (38685)

Research grade

NeutralNuclear TigeRES at 81%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Nuclear TigeRES

1 of 8 top traders (13%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Nuclear TigeRES wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance82.3%

80.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$21.57

Max Loss

-$100.00

121.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.