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VeryLucky888CTRUnderUnder
StudyPrediction<$100OverUnderOver
RN1CTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 67%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$404.48
Combined PnL
-$436.47
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares922
Combined PnL-$480.35
Over2 traders
Total Value$76.98
Total Shares77
Combined PnL+$43.88
Under — 60%Over — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VeryLucky888CTR | Underavg 53¢ | $470.35 | — | -$470.35 | 58% 41216-29879 (71095) |
YI yishiwuchengARB<$100 | Underavg 54.7¢ | $299.27 | $327.5 | +$28.23 | 51% 1786-1717 (3503) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 45.2¢ | $148.12 | $327.5 | +$179.38 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 54.7¢ | $151.15 | — | -$151.15 | |
StudyPrediction<$100 | Overavg 43¢ | $33.1 | $76.98 | +$43.88 | 53% 4564-3975 (8539) |
TH thatsabing0CTR<$100 | Underavg 29.3¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 93% 2979-237 (3216) |
BA BAPEHUK<$100 | Overavg 65¢ | $8.51 | $0.01 | +$0 | 49% 406-420 (826) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 30.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56027-48153 (104180) |
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$470.35
Value
—
PnL
-$470.35
Record
58%
41216-29879 (71095)
YI
yishiwuchengARB<$100Invested
$299.27
Value
$327.5
PnL
+$28.23
Record
51%
1786-1717 (3503)
Both legs:
Over$148.1245.2¢+$179.38
Under$151.1554.7¢-$151.15
StudyPrediction<$100Invested
$33.1
Value
$76.98
PnL
+$43.88
Record
53%
4564-3975 (8539)
TH
thatsabing0CTR<$100Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
93%
2979-237 (3216)
BA
BAPEHUK<$100Invested
$8.51
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
406-420 (826)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56027-48153 (104180)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2c057590...dadcc4
Slug
cs2-vit-navi-2026-10-29-total-games-2pt5