Counter-Strike: The Chosen Few vs Passion Academy - Map 1 Winner

3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold The Chosen Few (60%) · The Chosen Few at 100¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 10

The Chosen Few>99¢Passion Academy<1¢Ends Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

The Chosen Few

Consensus Traders

The Chosen Few 60%

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

$51.19

Smart Money Entry

51.6¢ → 100¢

+94% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

NeutralThe Chosen Few at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

The Chosen Few

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

The Chosen Few100%

Passion Academy0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

The Chosen Few3 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares1,875

Combined PnL+$54.92

Passion Academy2 traders

Total Value$27.83

Total Shares59

Combined PnL-$3.73

The Chosen Few — 60%Passion Academy — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
31 319113331313111	The Chosen Fewavg 51.4¢	$1.7K	$1.8K	+$70.03	35% 27-51 (78)
PA pauleta23	The Chosen Fewavg 53.5¢	$109.03	$94.65	-$14.38	20% 100-409 (509)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Passion Academyavg 52.1¢	$27.92	$25.46	-$2.46	50% 128-129 (257)
SH shiifoo<$100	The Chosen Fewavg 67¢	$3.35	$2.63	-$0.73	62% 1295-778 (2073)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Passion Academyavg 73¢	$3.65	$2.38	-$1.28	68% 1590-739 (2329)

319113331313111

The Chosen Few

Invested

$1,680.96

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$70.03

Record

35%

27-51 (78)

pauleta23

The Chosen Few

Invested

$109.03

Value

$94.65

PnL

-$14.38

Record

20%

100-409 (509)

lryyyCTR<$100

Passion Academy

Invested

$27.92

Value

$25.46

PnL

-$2.46

Record

50%

128-129 (257)

shiifoo<$100

The Chosen Few

Invested

$3.35

Value

$2.63

PnL

-$0.73

Record

62%

1295-778 (2073)

RLWGCTR<$100

Passion Academy

Invested

$3.65

Value

$2.38

PnL

-$1.28

Record

68%

1590-739 (2329)

Research grade

NeutralThe Chosen Few at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

The Chosen Few

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that The Chosen Few wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.