Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was ex-RUSTEC β and it was correct. Winning outcome: ex-RUSTEC

Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ILLYRIANS - Map 2 Winner
Resolved ex-RUSTEC. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held ex-RUSTEC. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
ex-RUSTEC 75%
2 arb excluded
$2.2K
$32.34
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VP Vps1 | ex-RUSTECavg 99.9Β’ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$1.22 | 96% 264-12 (276) |
![]() 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100 | ex-RUSTECavg 56Β’ | $577.91 | $594.09 | +$16.18 | 53% 2207-1972 (4179) |
| β ILLYRIANS leg | ILLYRIANSavg 41.3Β’ | $245.34 | β | -$245.34 | |
| β ex-RUSTEC leg | ex-RUSTECavg 56Β’ | $332.57 | $594.09 | +$261.52 | |
![]() poshposh | ex-RUSTECavg 64.5Β’ | $70.02 | $104.44 | +$34.42 | 60% 9402-6388 (15790) |
0X 0x4f2ARB<$100 | ILLYRIANSavg 48.3Β’ | $93.65 | $98.82 | +$5.17 | 52% 9103-8504 (17607) |
| β ex-RUSTEC leg | ex-RUSTECavg 46.8Β’ | $46.26 | $98.82 | +$52.56 | |
| β ILLYRIANS leg | ILLYRIANSavg 48.3Β’ | $47.39 | β | -$47.39 | |
TE testBruno2 | ex-RUSTECavg 63.1Β’ | $325.79 | $171.04 | +$38.75 | 58% 813-600 (1413) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | ILLYRIANSavg 20.5Β’ | $42.05 | β | -$42.05 | 59% 30106-20832 (50938) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | ILLYRIANSavg 55.4Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 60% 3251-2180 (5431) |
Invested
$1,215.87
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$1.22
Record
96%
264-12 (276)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100Invested
$577.91
Value
$594.09
PnL
+$16.18
Record
53%
2207-1972 (4179)
Both legs:
poshposhInvested
$70.02
Value
$104.44
PnL
+$34.42
Record
60%
9402-6388 (15790)
Invested
$93.65
Value
$98.82
PnL
+$5.17
Record
52%
9103-8504 (17607)
Both legs:
Invested
$325.79
Value
$171.04
PnL
+$38.75
Record
58%
813-600 (1413)
Invested
$42.05
Value
β
PnL
-$42.05
Record
59%
30106-20832 (50938)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
3251-2180 (5431)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Vps1
ex-RUSTEC β $1.2K

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
ARBArbitrage β excluded

poshposh
ex-RUSTEC β $104.44
0x4f2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
testBruno2
ex-RUSTEC β $171.04
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRILLYRIANS β $0
shiifoo
CTRILLYRIANS β $0