
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs Joga de terno (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A
4 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold RED Canids Academy (80%) · RED Canids Academy at 95¢ · $690 held · ends Oct 28
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Neutral
RED Canids Academy
5
RED Canids Academy 80%
$689.63
-$367.9
94.4¢ → 94.5¢
+0% since entry · 4 traders
Research grade
NeutralRED Canids Academy at 95%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() poshposh | RED Canids Academyavg 95.9¢ | $985.77 | $632.89 | -$352.88 | 60% 9159-6104 (15263) |
PL PLACEYOURBETS123<$100 | RED Canids Academyavg 76.3¢ | $55.3 | $42.76 | -$12.54 | 59% 50-35 (85) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | RED Canids Academyavg 82¢ | $11.47 | $8.25 | -$3.22 | 60% 3229-2163 (5392) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | RED Canids Academyavg 94.6¢ | $3.69 | $3.69 | -$0 | 54% 2678-2303 (4981) |
0X 0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176CTR<$100 | Joga de ternoavg 26¢ | $1.3 | $2.05 | +$0.75 | 53% 6103-5330 (11433) |
poshposhInvested
$985.77
Value
$632.89
PnL
-$352.88
Record
60%
9159-6104 (15263)
Invested
$55.3
Value
$42.76
PnL
-$12.54
Record
59%
50-35 (85)
Invested
$11.47
Value
$8.25
PnL
-$3.22
Record
60%
3229-2163 (5392)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$3.69
Value
$3.69
PnL
-$0
Record
54%
2678-2303 (4981)
Invested
$1.3
Value
$2.05
PnL
+$0.75
Record
53%
6103-5330 (11433)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
94.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.