Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage

5 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold RED Canids Academy (71%) · RED Canids Academy at 80¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 12

RED Canids Academy80¢Grêmio Esports20¢Ends Thu, Nov 12, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

RED Canids Academy

Consensus Traders

RED Canids Academy 71%

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$325.3

Smart Money Entry

69.6¢ → 79.5¢

+14% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralRED Canids Academy at 80%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

RED Canids Academy

5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

RED Canids Academy80%

Grêmio Esports21%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

RED Canids Academy5 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares2,175

Combined PnL+$202.89

Grêmio Esports2 traders

Total Value$583.51

Total Shares2,685

Combined PnL-$528.19

RED Canids Academy — 71%Grêmio Esports — 29%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 80%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

71% of non-arb traders are on RED Canids Academy. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 80% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpRED Canids Academy 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrRED Canids Academy 100% · 2

Aligned

Hand-pickedRED Canids Academy 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000RED Canids Academy 71% · 7

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BI BillBenter2026	RED Canids Academyavg 78¢	$943.96	$962.72	+$18.76	23% 144-492 (636)
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR	Grêmio Esportsavg 41.3¢	$1.1K	$542.76	-$524.69	54% 135-113 (248)
BI biying88888	RED Canids Academyavg 59¢	$333.94	$447.14	+$113.2	37% 116-201 (317)
31 319113331313111	RED Canids Academyavg 59.3¢	$241.2	$309.6	+$68.4	54% 75-64 (139)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fCTR<$100	Grêmio Esportsavg 27.8¢	$44.25	$40.75	-$3.5	64% 63-35 (98)
PA Pan9X<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 58.5¢	$38.63	$29.81	+$0.55	48% 673-715 (1388)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 57¢	$5.13	$7.11	+$1.98	53% 1821-1628 (3449)

BillBenter2026

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$943.96

Value

$962.72

PnL

+$18.76

Record

23%

144-492 (636)

0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR

Grêmio Esports

Invested

$1,067.45

Value

$542.76

PnL

-$524.69

Record

54%

135-113 (248)

biying88888

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$333.94

Value

$447.14

PnL

+$113.2

Record

37%

116-201 (317)

319113331313111

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$241.2

Value

$309.6

PnL

+$68.4

Record

54%

75-64 (139)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fCTR<$100

Grêmio Esports

Invested

$44.25

Value

$40.75

PnL

-$3.5

Record

64%

63-35 (98)

Pan9X<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$38.63

Value

$29.81

PnL

+$0.55

Record

48%

673-715 (1388)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$5.13

Value

$7.11

PnL

+$1.98

Record

53%

1821-1628 (3449)

Research grade

NeutralRED Canids Academy at 80%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

RED Canids Academy

5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 80%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

71% of non-arb traders are on RED Canids Academy. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 80% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpRED Canids Academy 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrRED Canids Academy 100% · 2

Aligned

Hand-pickedRED Canids Academy 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000RED Canids Academy 71% · 7

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that RED Canids Academy wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance81.3%

79.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$23.02

Max Loss

-$100.00

123.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.