Smart money holds the underdog side

Most tracked traders hold QUINTESSÊNCIA, while the market favors naocopulas (76%). 6 of 6 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.

Historically, consensus on sides priced under 40¢ lost money after costs.

Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B

6 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold QUINTESSÊNCIA (100%) · QUINTESSÊNCIA at 25¢ · $363 held · ends Oct 30

QUINTESSÊNCIA25¢naocopulas75¢Ends Fri, Oct 30, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Consensus Traders

QUINTESSÊNCIA 100%

Total Value

$363.22

Combined PnL

$11.88

Smart Money Entry

25.4¢ → 24.5¢

-3% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

AvoidQUINTESSÊNCIA at 25%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

Consensus side under 30¢Full year, out of sample: 0.05–0.30 lost −8.1 % a trade (n 11,568), under 0.20 −20.5 % (n 3,615). Oct 22 backtest: −29.5 % (n 1,625). The strongest effect in every test.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

QUINTESSÊNCIA

6 of 6 top traders (100%)Underdog side (market favors naocopulas 76%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

QUINTESSÊNCIA25%

naocopulas76%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

QUINTESSÊNCIA6 traders

Total Value$363.22

Total Shares1,385

Combined PnL+$11.88

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR	QUINTESSÊNCIAavg 25.5¢	$194.67	$210	+$15.33	46% 7844-9262 (17106)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	QUINTESSÊNCIAavg 25.8¢	$69.9	$66.36	-$3.54	49% 18955-19375 (38330)
BasquetipsterCTR<$100	QUINTESSÊNCIAavg 25¢	$60	$58.8	-$1.2	68% 1662-766 (2428)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	QUINTESSÊNCIAavg 24¢	$18	$18.37	+$0.37	58% 41458-30076 (71534)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR<$100	QUINTESSÊNCIAavg 25¢	$7.95	$8.75	+$0.8	47% 2466-2765 (5231)
poshposhCTR<$100	QUINTESSÊNCIAavg 24¢	$0.81	$0.93	+$0.12	59% 9885-6859 (16744)

0x0d2d...7ff5CTR

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Invested

$194.67

Value

$210

PnL

+$15.33

Record

46%

7844-9262 (17106)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Invested

$69.9

Value

$66.36

PnL

-$3.54

Record

49%

18955-19375 (38330)

BasquetipsterCTR<$100

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Invested

$60

Value

$58.8

PnL

-$1.2

Record

68%

1662-766 (2428)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Invested

$18

Value

$18.37

PnL

+$0.37

Record

58%

41458-30076 (71534)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR<$100

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Invested

$7.95

Value

$8.75

PnL

+$0.8

Record

47%

2466-2765 (5231)

poshposhCTR<$100

QUINTESSÊNCIA

Invested

$0.81

Value

$0.93

PnL

+$0.12

Record

59%

9885-6859 (16744)

Research grade

AvoidQUINTESSÊNCIA at 25%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

Consensus side under 30¢Full year, out of sample: 0.05–0.30 lost −8.1 % a trade (n 11,568), under 0.20 −20.5 % (n 3,615). Oct 22 backtest: −29.5 % (n 1,625). The strongest effect in every test.

Smart Money Signal

QUINTESSÊNCIA

6 of 6 top traders (100%)Underdog side (market favors naocopulas 76%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that QUINTESSÊNCIA wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance26.4%

24.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$278.07

Max Loss

-$100.00

378.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.