Counter-Strike: Team PCH3LK1N vs Team Jerry (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B

6 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Team PCH3LK1N (67%) · Team PCH3LK1N at 100¢ · $987 held · ends Nov 14

Team PCH3LK1N>99¢Team Jerry<1¢Ends Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Team PCH3LK1N

Consensus Traders

Team PCH3LK1N 67%

Total Value

$987.12

Combined PnL

$156.08

Smart Money Entry

78.9¢ → 100¢

+27% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralTeam PCH3LK1N at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Team PCH3LK1N

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Team PCH3LK1N100%

Team Jerry0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Team Jerry3 traders

Total Value$272.82

Total Shares344

Combined PnL+$5.27

Team PCH3LK1N6 traders

Total Value$714.31

Total Shares714

Combined PnL+$150.81

Team Jerry — 33%Team PCH3LK1N — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
NO NotJumpCTR	Team Jerryavg 50¢	$262.5	$272.74	+$10.24	52% 833-779 (1612)
VP Vps1	Team PCH3LK1Navg 99.9¢	$246.54	$246.67	+$0.12	88% 115-16 (131)
38 38791873984189	Team PCH3LK1Navg 43.3¢	$241.77	$237.97	+$139.1	48% 3231-3545 (6776)
dips.<$100	Team PCH3LK1Navg 98.2¢	$82.74	$84.21	+$1.47	47% 973-1108 (2081)
SU suitcase6628<$100	Team PCH3LK1Navg 96.3¢	$77.04	$79.92	+$2.88	64% 622-347 (969)
CI cigarettes<$100	Team PCH3LK1Navg 95.2¢	$47.6	$49.95	+$2.35	53% 7113-6221 (13334)
PA Pan9X<$100	Team PCH3LK1Navg 42.8¢	$10.7	$15.58	+$4.88	50% 1593-1619 (3212)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Team Jerryavg 6.5¢	$4.6	$0.07	-$4.53	37% 1039-1757 (2796)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	Team Jerryavg 4.5¢	$0.45	$0.01	-$0.44	45% 814-997 (1811)

NotJumpCTR

Team Jerry

Invested

$262.5

Value

$272.74

PnL

+$10.24

Record

52%

833-779 (1612)

Vps1

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$246.54

Value

$246.67

PnL

+$0.12

Record

88%

115-16 (131)

38791873984189

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$241.77

Value

$237.97

PnL

+$139.1

Record

48%

3231-3545 (6776)

dips.<$100

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$82.74

Value

$84.21

PnL

+$1.47

Record

47%

973-1108 (2081)

suitcase6628<$100

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$77.04

Value

$79.92

PnL

+$2.88

Record

64%

622-347 (969)

cigarettes<$100

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$47.6

Value

$49.95

PnL

+$2.35

Record

53%

7113-6221 (13334)

Pan9X<$100

Team PCH3LK1N

Invested

$10.7

Value

$15.58

PnL

+$4.88

Record

50%

1593-1619 (3212)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Team Jerry

Invested

$4.6

Value

$0.07

PnL

-$4.53

Record

37%

1039-1757 (2796)

lryyyCTR<$100

Team Jerry

Invested

$0.45

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$0.44

Record

45%

814-997 (1811)

Research grade

NeutralTeam PCH3LK1N at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Team PCH3LK1N

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Team PCH3LK1N wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.