Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was underw0rld β but paiN Academy won instead.

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs underw0rld - Map 2 Winner
Resolved paiN Academy. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held underw0rld. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
5
underw0rld 75%
1 arb excluded
$86.94
-$53.62
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 319113331313111ARB<$100 | underw0rldavg 34.8Β’ | $501.95 | $82.74 | -$125.99 | 55% 192-155 (347) |
| β paiN Academy leg | paiN Academyavg 66.4Β’ | $54.97 | $82.74 | -$17.13 | |
| β underw0rld leg | underw0rldavg 34.8Β’ | $148.64 | β | -$108.86 | |
CR crabfavorCTR<$100 | underw0rldavg 35.7Β’ | $29.46 | β | -$29.46 | 57% 108-81 (189) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | underw0rldavg 29.1Β’ | $40.5 | β | -$40.5 | 38% 1308-2106 (3414) |
![]() 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | paiN Academyavg 68.2Β’ | $451.05 | $4.2 | +$18.09 | 61% 183-117 (300) |
![]() Future-Tarot-TraderCTR<$100 | underw0rldavg 34Β’ | $1.7 | β | -$1.7 | 54% 153-128 (281) |
NO NotJumpCTR | underw0rldavg 50Β’ | $262.5 | β | -$0.05 | 51% 970-935 (1905) |
Invested
$501.95
Value
$82.74
PnL
-$125.99
Record
55%
192-155 (347)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.46
Value
β
PnL
-$29.46
Record
57%
108-81 (189)
Invested
$40.5
Value
β
PnL
-$40.5
Record
38%
1308-2106 (3414)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$451.05
Value
$4.2
PnL
+$18.09
Record
61%
183-117 (300)
Future-Tarot-TraderCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
β
PnL
-$1.7
Record
54%
153-128 (281)
Invested
$262.5
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
51%
970-935 (1905)