Counter-Strike: OG vs 9INE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs

8 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold 9INE (80%) · 9INE at 87¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 9

OG14¢9INE86¢Ends Mon, Nov 9, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

9INE

Consensus Traders

9INE 80%

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

-$25.35

Smart Money Entry

49.5¢ → 86.5¢

+75% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

Neutral9INE at 87%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

9INE

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

OG14%

9INE87%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

9INE8 traders

Total Value$2.3K

Total Shares2,855

Combined PnL+$678.67

OG2 traders

Total Value$194.18

Total Shares1,416

Combined PnL-$704.02

9INE — 80%OG — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FE ferrariChampions2026	9INEavg 50.5¢	$657.01	$922.8	+$265.78	46% 33351-38883 (72234)
PA panpidaras1	9INEavg 53.6¢	$375.5	$550.49	+$214.49	46% 296-354 (650)
SL SlickRick123	9INEavg 36¢	$126.36	$303.62	+$177.26	47% 6221-6932 (13153)
31 319113331313111	9INEavg 53.7¢	$270.2	$208.54	-$61.67	58% 473-341 (814)
PL plustiCTR	OGavg 63.5¢	$889.49	$189.17	-$700.32	50% 17-17 (34)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554	9INEavg 48¢	$100	$136.46	+$36.46	54% 3880-3246 (7126)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	9INEavg 50.8¢	$53.8	$81.9	+$28.1	52% 6045-5577 (11622)
GL glennyorkshire<$100	9INEavg 42.5¢	$33.71	$51.98	+$18.27	46% 232-268 (500)
SE sentrio<$100	9INEavg 41¢	$6.95	$6.93	-$0.02	50% 27934-27381 (55315)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	OGavg 60¢	$14.52	$5.01	-$3.7	50% 23449-23463 (46912)

ferrariChampions2026

9INE

Invested

$657.01

Value

$922.8

PnL

+$265.78

Record

46%

33351-38883 (72234)

panpidaras1

9INE

Invested

$375.5

Value

$550.49

PnL

+$214.49

Record

46%

296-354 (650)

SlickRick123

9INE

Invested

$126.36

Value

$303.62

PnL

+$177.26

Record

47%

6221-6932 (13153)

319113331313111

9INE

Invested

$270.2

Value

$208.54

PnL

-$61.67

Record

58%

473-341 (814)

plustiCTR

Invested

$889.49

Value

$189.17

PnL

-$700.32

Record

50%

17-17 (34)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

9INE

Invested

$100

Value

$136.46

PnL

+$36.46

Record

54%

3880-3246 (7126)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

9INE

Invested

$53.8

Value

$81.9

PnL

+$28.1

Record

52%

6045-5577 (11622)

glennyorkshire<$100

9INE

Invested

$33.71

Value

$51.98

PnL

+$18.27

Record

46%

232-268 (500)

sentrio<$100

9INE

Invested

$6.95

Value

$6.93

PnL

-$0.02

Record

50%

27934-27381 (55315)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Invested

$14.52

Value

$5.01

PnL

-$3.7

Record

50%

23449-23463 (46912)

Research grade

Neutral9INE at 87%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

9INE

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that 9INE wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance88.0%

86.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$13.58

Max Loss

-$100.00

113.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.