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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was paiN — but naocopulas won instead.

Counter-Strike: naocopulas vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Resolved naocopulas. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held paiN. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

paiN 40%

Total Value

$3.2K

Combined PnL

$-3.0K

Smart Money Signal

paiN

4 of 12 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

naocopulas100%
paiN0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

naocopulas8 traders
Total Value$3.2K
Total Shares3,196
Combined PnL+$636.72
paiN4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares6,624
Combined PnL$-3.7K
naocopulas — 67%paiN — 33%
46
467j6yj
naocopulas

Invested

$1,583.14

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$46.66

Record

97%

3327-116 (3443)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fCTR
paiN

Invested

$973.53

Value

—

PnL

-$973.53

Record

54%

2413-2095 (4508)

TO
topdogbigboi
naocopulas

Invested

$214.18

Value

$495.53

PnL

+$281.35

Record

49%

7982-8322 (16304)

0X
0x4f2
naocopulas

Invested

$219.12

Value

$424.92

PnL

+$205.8

Record

52%

9158-8549 (17707)

LO
looppau
naocopulas

Invested

$396.52

Value

$396.92

PnL

+$0.4

Record

99%

10924-66 (10990)

TE
testBruno2
naocopulas

Invested

$1,635.42

Value

$150

PnL

+$45.45

Record

58%

875-633 (1508)

poshposh<$100
naocopulas

Invested

$41.43

Value

$98.5

PnL

+$57.07

Record

59%

10191-7178 (17369)

JohnLKellyJrCTR
paiN

Invested

$4,670.04

Value

—

PnL

$-2.1K

Record

52%

1247-1130 (2377)

latvian.demonCTR
paiN

Invested

$588.96

Value

—

PnL

-$597.51

Record

54%

702-589 (1291)

RL
RLWGCTR<$100
paiN

Invested

$6

Value

—

PnL

-$6

Record

50%

7902-7934 (15836)

0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100
naocopulas

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

30480-21187 (51667)

SH
shiifoo<$100
naocopulas

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

60%

3351-2263 (5614)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x1192056d...ca2a9a
Slug
cs2-nao-pain-2026-10-31-game2

Traders in this Market

46

467j6yj

naocopulas — $1.6K

+$46.66

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

CTR

paiN — $0

-$973.53
TO

topdogbigboi

naocopulas — $495.53

+$281.35
0X

0x4f2

naocopulas — $424.92

+$205.8
LO

looppau

naocopulas — $396.92

+$0.4
TE

testBruno2

naocopulas — $150

+$45.45

poshposh

naocopulas — $98.5

+$57.07

JohnLKellyJr

CTR

paiN — $0

$-2.1K

latvian.demon

CTR

paiN — $0

-$597.51
RL

RLWG

CTR

paiN — $0

-$6
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