
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy - Map 2 Winner
6 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Metizport (60%) · Metizport at 100¢ · $13K held · ends Nov 2
⚖️
Neutral
Metizport
10
Metizport 60%
$13.1K
$639.57
95.3¢ → 100¢
+5% since entry · 6 traders
Research grade
NeutralMetizport at 100%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
46 467j6yj | Metizportavg 98.9¢ | $5.5K | $5.4K | -$48.95 | 97% 3389-119 (3508) |
IV Ivan948CTR | WBT Academyavg 39.7¢ | $2.2K | $2.8K | +$581.34 | 43% 79-103 (182) |
LO looppau | Metizportavg 99.9¢ | $2.5K | $2.5K | +$1.25 | 99% 11171-71 (11242) |
![]() 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | Metizportavg 78.3¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$77.13 | 54% 2460-2113 (4573) |
![]() poshposh | Metizportavg 80.9¢ | $296.5 | $352.2 | +$55.71 | 58% 10691-7671 (18362) |
0X 0x4f2 | Metizportavg 90.8¢ | $248.28 | $235.49 | -$12.78 | 52% 9186-8564 (17750) |
TE testBruno2 | Metizportavg 83.3¢ | $858.72 | $200.93 | +$27.26 | 58% 899-648 (1547) |
GT gt7238CTR | WBT Academyavg 15.3¢ | $168.27 | $126.5 | -$41.77 | 45% 626-764 (1390) |
0X 0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569CTR | WBT Academyavg 16.4¢ | $99.1 | $103.02 | +$3.92 | 46% 909-1076 (1985) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | WBT Academyavg 22¢ | $3.55 | $0.01 | -$3.54 | 48% 8991-9637 (18628) |
Invested
$5,476.79
Value
$5.4K
PnL
-$48.95
Record
97%
3389-119 (3508)
Invested
$2,245.25
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$581.34
Record
43%
79-103 (182)
Invested
$2,497.5
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$1.25
Record
99%
11171-71 (11242)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$1,245.95
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$77.13
Record
54%
2460-2113 (4573)
poshposhInvested
$296.5
Value
$352.2
PnL
+$55.71
Record
58%
10691-7671 (18362)
Invested
$248.28
Value
$235.49
PnL
-$12.78
Record
52%
9186-8564 (17750)
Invested
$858.72
Value
$200.93
PnL
+$27.26
Record
58%
899-648 (1547)
Invested
$168.27
Value
$126.5
PnL
-$41.77
Record
45%
626-764 (1390)
Invested
$99.1
Value
$103.02
PnL
+$3.92
Record
46%
909-1076 (1985)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$3.54
Record
48%
8991-9637 (18628)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
467j6yj
Metizport — $5.4K
Ivan948
CTRWBT Academy — $2.8K
looppau
Metizport — $2.5K

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
Metizport — $1.3K

poshposh
Metizport — $352.2
0x4f2
Metizport — $235.49
testBruno2
Metizport — $200.93
gt7238
CTRWBT Academy — $126.5
0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569
CTRWBT Academy — $103.02
topdogbigboi
CTRWBT Academy — $0.01