Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs

9 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold WBT Academy (64%) · WBT Academy at 100¢ · $31K held · ends Nov 2

Metizport<1¢WBT Academy>99¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

WBT Academy

Consensus Traders

WBT Academy 64%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$31.0K

Combined PnL

$1.5K

Smart Money Entry

44.6¢ → 100¢

+124% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralWBT Academy at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

WBT Academy

9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Metizport0%

WBT Academy100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Metizport5 traders

Total Value$13.7K

Total Shares23,287

Combined PnL+$450.95

WBT Academy9 traders

Total Value$16.6K

Total Shares29,993

Combined PnL+$1.0K

Metizport — 36%WBT Academy — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
JohnLKellyJrCTR	Metizportavg 60.4¢	$9.5K	$10.2K	+$638.95	52% 1263-1146 (2409)
VI vibing123	WBT Academyavg 37.9¢	$3.9K	$3.9K	+$15.39	52% 1575-1458 (3033)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	WBT Academyavg 50.6¢	$3.8K	$3.9K	+$134.53	54% 2460-2113 (4573)
HU humbleboy	WBT Academyavg 38¢	$3.0K	$3.0K	-$0	55% 515-428 (943)
46 467j6yj	WBT Academyavg 97.9¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	-$12.12	97% 3389-119 (3508)
frjrnsdCTR	Metizportavg 64.4¢	$2.6K	$2.5K	-$96.14	69% 70-32 (102)
TO topdogbigboi	WBT Academyavg 37.3¢	$623.81	$1.2K	+$555	48% 8991-9637 (18628)
GT gt7238	WBT Academyavg 37.1¢	$1.1K	$1.2K	+$83.66	45% 626-764 (1390)
0X 0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237CTR	Metizportavg 58¢	$944.88	$1.0K	+$64.72	51% 351-343 (694)
AM ameisgoat11ARB<$100	WBT Academyavg 53.3¢	$754.95	$723.02	-$31.94	52% 7507-6801 (14308)
└ Metizport leg	Metizportavg 51.2¢	$372.52	$432.63	+$60.11
└ WBT Academy leg	WBT Academyavg 53.3¢	$382.43	$290.39	-$92.05
poshposh	WBT Academyavg 41.8¢	$439.36	$708.41	+$269.05	58% 10691-7671 (18362)
0X 0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569	WBT Academyavg 34.4¢	$106.22	$100.43	-$5.8	46% 909-1076 (1985)
AO aomendushen008CTR	Metizportavg 11.9¢	$205.4	$43.29	-$162.11	50% 944-931 (1875)
US User7429CTR<$100	Metizportavg 4.9¢	$10.44	$15.97	+$5.53	55% 8417-6766 (15183)
0X 0x4f2<$100	WBT Academyavg 45¢	$11.15	$11.28	+$0.12	52% 9186-8564 (17750)

JohnLKellyJrCTR

Metizport

Invested

$9,513.26

Value

$10.2K

PnL

+$638.95

Record

52%

1263-1146 (2409)

vibing123

WBT Academy

Invested

$3,929.5

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$15.39

Record

52%

1575-1458 (3033)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

WBT Academy

Invested

$3,801.35

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$134.53

Record

54%

2460-2113 (4573)

humbleboy

WBT Academy

Invested

$3,039.99

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$0

Record

55%

515-428 (943)

467j6yj

WBT Academy

Invested

$2,490.01

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$12.12

Record

97%

3389-119 (3508)

frjrnsdCTR

Metizport

Invested

$2,561.32

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$96.14

Record

69%

70-32 (102)

topdogbigboi

WBT Academy

Invested

$623.81

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$555

Record

48%

8991-9637 (18628)

gt7238

WBT Academy

Invested

$1,080.18

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$83.66

Record

45%

626-764 (1390)

0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237CTR

Metizport

Invested

$944.88

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$64.72

Record

51%

351-343 (694)

ameisgoat11ARB<$100

WBT Academy

Invested

$754.95

Value

$723.02

PnL

-$31.94

Record

52%

7507-6801 (14308)

Both legs:

Metizport$372.5251.2¢+$60.11

WBT Academy$382.4353.3¢-$92.05

poshposh

WBT Academy

Invested

$439.36

Value

$708.41

PnL

+$269.05

Record

58%

10691-7671 (18362)

0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569

WBT Academy

Invested

$106.22

Value

$100.43

PnL

-$5.8

Record

46%

909-1076 (1985)

aomendushen008CTR

Metizport

Invested

$205.4

Value

$43.29

PnL

-$162.11

Record

50%

944-931 (1875)

User7429CTR<$100

Metizport

Invested

$10.44

Value

$15.97

PnL

+$5.53

Record

55%

8417-6766 (15183)

0x4f2<$100

WBT Academy

Invested

$11.15

Value

$11.28

PnL

+$0.12

Record

52%

9186-8564 (17750)

Research grade

NeutralWBT Academy at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

WBT Academy

9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that WBT Academy wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.