Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was MIBR β and it was correct. Winning outcome: MIBR

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
Resolved MIBR. 39% of the top Polymarket traders held MIBR. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
MIBR 31%
1 arb excluded
$87.9K
$-11.5K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 18 top traders (39%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1 | MIBRavg 61.3Β’ | $43.7K | $60.3K | +$16.7K | 54% 55371-47422 (102793) |
MD MD14CTR | Eternal Fireavg 40.7Β’ | $21.6K | β | $-21.6K | 28% 39-99 (138) |
PN pnhct | MIBRavg 65Β’ | $19.4K | $17.8K | $-1.5K | 53% 442-385 (827) |
![]() JohnLKellyJrCTR | Eternal Fireavg 49.2Β’ | $6.3K | β | $-6.3K | 53% 1190-1063 (2253) |
AA aaaa298 | MIBRavg 47.8Β’ | $7.0K | $4.9K | +$4.2K | 58% 733-525 (1258) |
IV Ivan948CTR | Eternal Fireavg 38.4Β’ | $2.7K | β | $-2.7K | 46% 49-58 (107) |
![]() Stone1337 | MIBRavg 52Β’ | $1.6K | $3.0K | +$1.4K | 57% 94-70 (164) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | MIBRavg 65.6Β’ | $1.8K | $1.6K | -$188.14 | 52% 13496-12350 (25846) |
| β MIBR leg | MIBRavg 65.6Β’ | $1.0K | $1.6K | +$541.42 | |
| β Eternal Fire leg | Eternal Fireavg 54.5Β’ | $729.56 | β | -$729.56 | |
0X 0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569CTR | Eternal Fireavg 35.6Β’ | $712.99 | β | -$712.99 | 46% 882-1049 (1931) |
FR frohp5CTR | Eternal Fireavg 42.1Β’ | $2.8K | β | $-2.4K | 65% 1957-1041 (2998) |
![]() poshposh | MIBRavg 59.5Β’ | $118.51 | $199.2 | +$80.69 | 60% 9127-6066 (15193) |
NO NoprajskCTR | Eternal Fireavg 42Β’ | $206.45 | β | -$206.45 | 44% 24-31 (55) |
MR MrConsistencyCTR | Eternal Fireavg 38Β’ | $183.87 | β | -$183.87 | 39% 541-835 (1376) |
BE berlinskiesCTR | Eternal Fireavg 43.5Β’ | $319.99 | β | -$263.53 | 58% 5730-4207 (9937) |
![]() clazzy1CTR<$100 | Eternal Fireavg 46Β’ | $46 | β | -$46 | 62% 371-225 (596) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Eternal Fireavg 50Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 50% 7581-7604 (15185) |
TO TommyLeePeecaCTR<$100 | Eternal Fireavg 35.9Β’ | $13.74 | β | -$13.74 | 54% 1035-877 (1912) |
UN Unknownpoluy | MIBRavg 41Β’ | $999.4 | β | +$1.4K | 44% 85-110 (195) |
![]() latvian.demon | MIBRavg 72.3Β’ | $1.8K | β | +$685.88 | 54% 621-533 (1154) |
RN1Invested
$43,661.17
Value
$60.3K
PnL
+$16.7K
Record
54%
55371-47422 (102793)
Invested
$21,554.2
Value
β
PnL
$-21.6K
Record
28%
39-99 (138)
Invested
$19,381.77
Value
$17.8K
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
53%
442-385 (827)
JohnLKellyJrCTRInvested
$6,250.92
Value
β
PnL
$-6.3K
Record
53%
1190-1063 (2253)
Invested
$6,955.7
Value
$4.9K
PnL
+$4.2K
Record
58%
733-525 (1258)
Invested
$2,724.03
Value
β
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
46%
49-58 (107)
Stone1337Invested
$1,560
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
57%
94-70 (164)
Invested
$1,762.13
Value
$1.6K
PnL
-$188.14
Record
52%
13496-12350 (25846)
Both legs:
Invested
$712.99
Value
β
PnL
-$712.99
Record
46%
882-1049 (1931)
Invested
$2,800
Value
β
PnL
$-2.4K
Record
65%
1957-1041 (2998)
poshposhInvested
$118.51
Value
$199.2
PnL
+$80.69
Record
60%
9127-6066 (15193)
Invested
$206.45
Value
β
PnL
-$206.45
Record
44%
24-31 (55)
Invested
$183.87
Value
β
PnL
-$183.87
Record
39%
541-835 (1376)
Invested
$319.99
Value
β
PnL
-$263.53
Record
58%
5730-4207 (9937)
clazzy1CTR<$100Invested
$46
Value
β
PnL
-$46
Record
62%
371-225 (596)
Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
50%
7581-7604 (15185)
Invested
$13.74
Value
β
PnL
-$13.74
Record
54%
1035-877 (1912)
Invested
$999.4
Value
β
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
44%
85-110 (195)
latvian.demonInvested
$1,798.68
Value
β
PnL
+$685.88
Record
54%
621-533 (1154)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

RN1
MIBR β $60.3K
MD14
CTREternal Fire β $0
pnhct
MIBR β $17.8K

JohnLKellyJr
CTREternal Fire β $0
aaaa298
MIBR β $4.9K
Ivan948
CTREternal Fire β $0

Stone1337
MIBR β $3.0K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569
CTREternal Fire β $0
frohp5
CTREternal Fire β $0