Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was TheMongolz — and it was correct. Winning outcome: TheMongolz
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
Resolved TheMongolz. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held TheMongolz. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
TheMongolz 37%
6 arb excluded
$146.2K
$3.4K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 25 top traders (52%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1ARB<$100 | TheMongolzavg 49.6¢ | $27.7K | $42.5K | +$14.7K | 54% 55318-47360 (102678) |
| └ TheMongolz leg | TheMongolzavg 49.6¢ | $21.0K | $42.5K | +$21.4K | |
| └ Legacy leg | Legacyavg 24.2¢ | $6.7K | — | $-6.7K | |
 cruzNBAARB<$100 | Legacyavg 56.2¢ | $44.7K | $28.3K | $-20.0K | 42% 390-538 (928) |
| └ TheMongolz leg | TheMongolzavg 55.9¢ | $15.8K | $28.3K | +$14.3K | |
| └ Legacy leg | Legacyavg 56.2¢ | $30.8K | — | $-34.3K | |
PN pnhctARB<$100 | TheMongolzavg 61.7¢ | $27.6K | $28.6K | +$977.31 | 54% 435-376 (811) |
| └ TheMongolz leg | TheMongolzavg 61.7¢ | $17.7K | $28.6K | +$10.9K | |
| └ Legacy leg | Legacyavg 35.3¢ | $10.0K | — | $-10.0K | |
AA aaaa298ARB<$100 | TheMongolzavg 63.5¢ | $19.8K | $17.3K | -$406.6 | 58% 724-521 (1245) |
| └ TheMongolz leg | TheMongolzavg 63.5¢ | $11.0K | $17.3K | +$7.1K | |
| └ Legacy leg | Legacyavg 43.4¢ | $7.5K | — | $-7.5K | |
 noreasapa | TheMongolzavg 99.9¢ | $17.2K | $17.3K | +$17.25 | 92% 3531-325 (3856) |
AN AnibalAugustoSardinhaCTR | Legacyavg 26.2¢ | $4.3K | — | $-4.3K | 52% 60-55 (115) |
RR rrooster | TheMongolzavg 52.6¢ | $1.8K | $3.4K | +$1.6K | 63% 1313-781 (2094) |
GT gt7238 | TheMongolzavg 43.2¢ | $2.1K | $3.3K | +$1.2K | 45% 580-706 (1286) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | TheMongolzavg 60.3¢ | $2.7K | $2.8K | +$156.54 | 52% 13478-12328 (25806) |
| └ TheMongolz leg | TheMongolzavg 60.3¢ | $1.7K | $2.8K | +$1.1K | |
| └ Legacy leg | Legacyavg 30.8¢ | $961.82 | — | -$961.82 | |
BI BillBenter2026 | TheMongolzavg 60.4¢ | $1.3K | $1.5K | +$157.39 | 58% 18298-13444 (31742) |
 ReformedxCTR | Legacyavg 48¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.5K | 52% 769-714 (1483) |
CH chillhouse123 | TheMongolzavg 66.4¢ | $681.76 | $913.68 | +$285.12 | 52% 3662-3321 (6983) |
DE delacsynzy1CTR | Legacyavg 57¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.1K | 51% 424-410 (834) |
 latvian.demonCTR | Legacyavg 41¢ | $410 | — | -$410 | 54% 615-526 (1141) |
BA BAPEHUKCTR | Legacyavg 47¢ | $403.3 | — | -$463.37 | 49% 397-411 (808) |
TO TommyLeePeecaARB<$100 | Legacyavg 31.2¢ | $8.3K | $100.01 | -$104.04 | 54% 1029-866 (1895) |
| └ Legacy leg | Legacyavg 31.2¢ | $130.03 | — | -$130.04 | |
| └ TheMongolz leg | TheMongolzavg 74¢ | $73.99 | $100.01 | +$26 | |
PI PIPIZINCTR | Legacyavg 54¢ | $300 | — | -$300 | 51% 389-370 (759) |
AS astapzippo | TheMongolzavg 60¢ | $122.39 | $203.99 | +$81.6 | 56% 2103-1639 (3742) |
MR MrConsistencyCTR | Legacyavg 42¢ | $217.24 | — | -$217.24 | 39% 540-833 (1373) |
GR GroolCTR | Legacyavg 50.1¢ | $190.2 | — | -$190.2 | 54% 1584-1366 (2950) |
0X 0x5E5175106a7Dbbd92B10f1b56458Fc8c1Bdd42ce-1730865746538CTR<$100 | Legacyavg 50¢ | $50 | — | -$50 | 68% 1438-684 (2122) |
 poshposh<$100 | TheMongolzavg 97.8¢ | $28.59 | $29.23 | +$0.64 | 60% 9086-6001 (15087) |
TH THEHIGHLIFECTR<$100 | Legacyavg 48.7¢ | $31.49 | — | -$31.49 | 54% 2458-2111 (4569) |
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100 | Legacyavg 49.5¢ | $5.04 | — | -$5.04 | 53% 299-263 (562) |
AD adururuCTR<$100 | Legacyavg 49.5¢ | $5.04 | — | -$5.04 | 54% 349-297 (646) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$27,705.1
Value
$42.5K
PnL
+$14.7K
Record
54%
55318-47360 (102678)
Both legs:
cruzNBAARB<$100Invested
$44,746.59
Value
$28.3K
PnL
$-20.0K
Record
42%
390-538 (928)
Both legs:
Invested
$27,608.25
Value
$28.6K
PnL
+$977.31
Record
54%
435-376 (811)
Both legs:
Invested
$19,836.87
Value
$17.3K
PnL
-$406.6
Record
58%
724-521 (1245)
Both legs:
noreasapaInvested
$17,235.98
Value
$17.3K
PnL
+$17.25
Record
92%
3531-325 (3856)
Invested
$4,327.66
Value
—
PnL
$-4.3K
Record
52%
60-55 (115)
Invested
$1,811.82
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$1.6K
Record
63%
1313-781 (2094)
Invested
$2,069.66
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
45%
580-706 (1286)
Invested
$2,661.16
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$156.54
Record
52%
13478-12328 (25806)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,318.57
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$157.39
Record
58%
18298-13444 (31742)
ReformedxCTRInvested
$1,440
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
52%
769-714 (1483)
Invested
$681.76
Value
$913.68
PnL
+$285.12
Record
52%
3662-3321 (6983)
Invested
$1,000
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
51%
424-410 (834)
latvian.demonCTRInvested
$410
Value
—
PnL
-$410
Record
54%
615-526 (1141)
Invested
$403.3
Value
—
PnL
-$463.37
Record
49%
397-411 (808)
Invested
$8,314.57
Value
$100.01
PnL
-$104.04
Record
54%
1029-866 (1895)
Both legs:
Invested
$300
Value
—
PnL
-$300
Record
51%
389-370 (759)
Invested
$122.39
Value
$203.99
PnL
+$81.6
Record
56%
2103-1639 (3742)
Invested
$217.24
Value
—
PnL
-$217.24
Record
39%
540-833 (1373)
Invested
$190.2
Value
—
PnL
-$190.2
Record
54%
1584-1366 (2950)
Invested
$50
Value
—
PnL
-$50
Record
68%
1438-684 (2122)
poshposh<$100Invested
$28.59
Value
$29.23
PnL
+$0.64
Record
60%
9086-6001 (15087)
Invested
$31.49
Value
—
PnL
-$31.49
Record
54%
2458-2111 (4569)
Invested
$5.04
Value
—
PnL
-$5.04
Record
53%
299-263 (562)
Invested
$5.04
Value
—
PnL
-$5.04
Record
54%
349-297 (646)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
cruzNBA
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pnhct
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaaa298
ARBArbitrage — excluded
noreasapa
TheMongolz — $17.3K
AnibalAugustoSardinha
CTRLegacy — $0
rrooster
TheMongolz — $3.4K
gt7238
TheMongolz — $3.3K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BillBenter2026
TheMongolz — $1.5K