Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner

3 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Lavked (50%) · Lavked at 100¢ · $5K held · ends Oct 27

Inner Circle Academy<1¢Lavked>99¢Ends Tue, Oct 27, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Lavked

Consensus Traders

Lavked 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.5K

Combined PnL

-$318.8

Smart Money Entry

41.8¢ → 100¢

+139% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

NeutralLavked at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Lavked

3 of 6 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Inner Circle Academy0%

Lavked100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Lavked3 traders

Total Value$2.6K

Total Shares7,031

Combined PnL-$362.36

Inner Circle Academy3 traders

Total Value$470.22

Total Shares931

Combined PnL+$43.56

Lavked — 50%Inner Circle Academy — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100	Inner Circle Academyavg 50.9¢	$1.9K	$2.2K	+$308.6	58% 18304-13452 (31756)
└ Inner Circle Academy leg	Inner Circle Academyavg 50.9¢	$1.3K	$1.7K	+$416.6
└ Lavked leg	Lavkedavg 40.4¢	$571.81	$463.81	-$108
0X 0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620	Lavkedavg 37.8¢	$2.4K	$2.1K	-$324.6	55% 36-29 (65)
MaktMan	Lavkedavg 86¢	$500	$460.68	-$39.32	53% 35-31 (66)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR	Inner Circle Academyavg 39.5¢	$280.22	$322.33	+$42.11	53% 3085-2710 (5795)
poshposhARB<$100	Inner Circle Academyavg 57¢	$342.22	$236.49	-$105.73	60% 9116-6042 (15158)
└ Lavked leg	Lavkedavg 61.6¢	$121.34	$156.14	+$34.8
└ Inner Circle Academy leg	Inner Circle Academyavg 57¢	$220.88	$80.35	-$140.52
SH shiifooCTR	Inner Circle Academyavg 64.5¢	$190.56	$145.45	+$1.89	60% 3221-2159 (5380)
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255F<$100	Lavkedavg 39.7¢	$5.95	$7.5	+$1.55	55% 126-102 (228)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Inner Circle Academyavg 59¢	$2.88	$2.44	-$0.44	58% 40420-29201 (69621)

BillBenter2026ARB<$100

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$1,876.45

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$308.6

Record

58%

18304-13452 (31756)

Both legs:

Inner Circle Academy$1,304.6450.9¢+$416.6

Lavked$571.8140.4¢-$108

0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620

Lavked

Invested

$2,435.05

Value

$2.1K

PnL

-$324.6

Record

55%

36-29 (65)

MaktMan

Lavked

Invested

$500

Value

$460.68

PnL

-$39.32

Record

53%

35-31 (66)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$280.22

Value

$322.33

PnL

+$42.11

Record

53%

3085-2710 (5795)

poshposhARB<$100

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$342.22

Value

$236.49

PnL

-$105.73

Record

60%

9116-6042 (15158)

Both legs:

Lavked$121.3461.6¢+$34.8

Inner Circle Academy$220.8857¢-$140.52

shiifooCTR

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$190.56

Value

$145.45

PnL

+$1.89

Record

60%

3221-2159 (5380)

0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255F<$100

Lavked

Invested

$5.95

Value

$7.5

PnL

+$1.55

Record

55%

126-102 (228)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$2.88

Value

$2.44

PnL

-$0.44

Record

58%

40420-29201 (69621)

Research grade

NeutralLavked at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Lavked

3 of 6 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Lavked wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.