Counter-Strike: Galorys vs RED Canids Academy - Map 1 Winner

11 of 16 top Polymarket traders hold Galorys (69%) · Galorys at 78¢ · $4K held · ends Nov 13

Galorys78¢RED Canids Academy22¢Ends Fri, Nov 13, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Galorys

Consensus Traders

Galorys 69%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$4.0K

Combined PnL

-$266.54

Smart Money Entry

47.8¢ → 77.5¢

+62% since entry · 11 traders

Research grade

NeutralGalorys at 78%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Galorys

11 of 16 top traders (69%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Galorys78%

RED Canids Academy23%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Galorys11 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares2,467

Combined PnL+$102.12

RED Canids Academy5 traders

Total Value$603.66

Total Shares2,135

Combined PnL-$368.66

Galorys — 69%RED Canids Academy — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 51.1¢	$1.7K	$1.6K	-$70.22	60% 133-87 (220)
└ Galorys leg	Galorysavg 49.4¢	$787.66	$1.2K	+$447.52
└ RED Canids Academy leg	RED Canids Academyavg 51.1¢	$924.65	$406.9	-$517.74
TO topdogbigboi	Galorysavg 36.3¢	$298.36	$480.92	+$182.56	37% 657-1141 (1798)
lma0o0o0oCTR	RED Canids Academyavg 47.9¢	$675.39	$359.92	-$315.47	54% 34-29 (63)
PA panpidaras1	Galorysavg 49.5¢	$196.2	$286.83	+$96.5	11% 35-281 (316)
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Galorysavg 50¢	$262.5	$262.5	+$0	53% 631-566 (1197)
└ RED Canids Academy leg	RED Canids Academyavg 50¢	$131.25	$202.12	+$70.87
└ Galorys leg	Galorysavg 50¢	$131.25	$60.38	-$70.87
31 319113331313111	Galorysavg 68.1¢	$2.3K	$178.72	-$54.39	57% 150-113 (263)
poshposh	Galorysavg 31.9¢	$109.31	$159.4	+$50.1	46% 781-902 (1683)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR	RED Canids Academyavg 42.5¢	$164.5	$98.79	-$65.71	44% 112-144 (256)
Future-Tarot-Trader	Galorysavg 45.6¢	$359.15	$71.59	+$15.6	52% 120-113 (233)
alpheclabs2	Galorysavg 48.5¢	$148.41	$70.38	-$78.03	46% 219-260 (479)
06 0x0636...d49aCTR<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 42.6¢	$86.76	$68.57	-$18.19	—
LR lryyy<$100	Galorysavg 53.7¢	$79.53	$63.25	-$16.28	45% 593-733 (1326)
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255F	Galorysavg 75.4¢	$168.82	$51.5	-$117.32	56% 156-125 (281)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 24¢	$13.68	$43.88	+$30.2	48% 2786-3040 (5826)
SH shiifoo<$100	Galorysavg 48.5¢	$46.51	$35.98	-$10.54	62% 1394-871 (2265)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	Galorysavg 32.5¢	$15.12	$34.69	+$19.57	51% 2261-2214 (4475)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Galorysavg 43.5¢	$20.09	$34.44	+$14.35	44% 391-495 (886)
NostdamCTR<$100	RED Canids Academyavg 32¢	$32	$32.5	+$0.5	7% 9-114 (123)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$1,712.3

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$70.22

Record

60%

133-87 (220)

Both legs:

Galorys$787.6649.4¢+$447.52

RED Canids Academy$924.6551.1¢-$517.74

topdogbigboi

Galorys

Invested

$298.36

Value

$480.92

PnL

+$182.56

Record

37%

657-1141 (1798)

lma0o0o0oCTR

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$675.39

Value

$359.92

PnL

-$315.47

Record

54%

34-29 (63)

panpidaras1

Galorys

Invested

$196.2

Value

$286.83

PnL

+$96.5

Record

11%

35-281 (316)

NotJumpARB<$100

Galorys

Invested

$262.5

Value

$262.5

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

631-566 (1197)

Both legs:

RED Canids Academy$131.2550¢+$70.87

Galorys$131.2550¢-$70.87

319113331313111

Galorys

Invested

$2,334.27

Value

$178.72

PnL

-$54.39

Record

57%

150-113 (263)

poshposh

Galorys

Invested

$109.31

Value

$159.4

PnL

+$50.1

Record

46%

781-902 (1683)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$164.5

Value

$98.79

PnL

-$65.71

Record

44%

112-144 (256)

Future-Tarot-Trader

Galorys

Invested

$359.15

Value

$71.59

PnL

+$15.6

Record

52%

120-113 (233)

alpheclabs2

Galorys

Invested

$148.41

Value

$70.38

PnL

-$78.03

Record

46%

219-260 (479)

0x0636...d49aCTR<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$86.76

Value

$68.57

PnL

-$18.19

Record

—

lryyy<$100

Galorys

Invested

$79.53

Value

$63.25

PnL

-$16.28

Record

45%

593-733 (1326)

0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255F

Galorys

Invested

$168.82

Value

$51.5

PnL

-$117.32

Record

56%

156-125 (281)

38791873984189CTR<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$13.68

Value

$43.88

PnL

+$30.2

Record

48%

2786-3040 (5826)

shiifoo<$100

Galorys

Invested

$46.51

Value

$35.98

PnL

-$10.54

Record

62%

1394-871 (2265)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

Galorys

Invested

$15.12

Value

$34.69

PnL

+$19.57

Record

51%

2261-2214 (4475)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Galorys

Invested

$20.09

Value

$34.44

PnL

+$14.35

Record

44%

391-495 (886)

NostdamCTR<$100

RED Canids Academy

Invested

$32

Value

$32.5

PnL

+$0.5

Record

9-114 (123)

Research grade

NeutralGalorys at 78%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Galorys

11 of 16 top traders (69%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Galorys wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance79.3%

77.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$26.03

Max Loss

-$100.00

126.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.