Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Group B

5 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Procyon Gaming (56%) · Procyon Gaming at 100¢ · $9K held · ends Oct 31

Galorys<1¢Procyon Gaming>99¢Ends Sat, Oct 31, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Procyon Gaming

Consensus Traders

Procyon Gaming 56%

Total Value

$8.8K

Combined PnL

$1.0K

Smart Money Entry

55.2¢ → 100¢

+81% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralProcyon Gaming at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Procyon Gaming

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Galorys0%

Procyon Gaming100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Procyon Gaming5 traders

Total Value$5.7K

Total Shares6,015

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Galorys4 traders

Total Value$3.2K

Total Shares7,470

Combined PnL-$69.24

Procyon Gaming — 56%Galorys — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PN pnhct	Procyon Gamingavg 55.2¢	$4.4K	$5.4K	+$1.0K	53% 511-447 (958)
JohnLKellyJrCTR	Galorysavg 43.7¢	$3.1K	$3.0K	-$81.33	52% 1247-1129 (2376)
HY hydra1248CTR	Galorysavg 66.7¢	$133.86	$129.44	-$4.42	— 1-0 (1)
LO looppau	Procyon Gamingavg 99.9¢	$111.67	$111.72	+$0.06	99% 10916-66 (10982)
TO topdogbigboi	Procyon Gamingavg 26¢	$43.29	$110.36	+$67.06	49% 7973-8309 (16282)
poshposhCTR<$100	Galorysavg 4.7¢	$16.72	$33.28	+$16.56	59% 10176-7169 (17345)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Procyon Gamingavg 41¢	$24.87	$16.07	-$8.8	49% 19161-19553 (38714)
JO johnsonboyy<$100	Procyon Gamingavg 25¢	$10	$10.6	+$0.6	44% 41-53 (94)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Galorysavg 43¢	$4.3	$4.25	-$0.05	50% 7900-7930 (15830)

pnhct

Procyon Gaming

Invested

$4,412.32

Value

$5.4K

PnL

+$1.0K

Record

53%

511-447 (958)

JohnLKellyJrCTR

Galorys

Invested

$3,075.59

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$81.33

Record

52%

1247-1129 (2376)

hydra1248CTR

Galorys

Invested

$133.86

Value

$129.44

PnL

-$4.42

Record

—

1-0 (1)

looppau

Procyon Gaming

Invested

$111.67

Value

$111.72

PnL

+$0.06

Record

99%

10916-66 (10982)

topdogbigboi

Procyon Gaming

Invested

$43.29

Value

$110.36

PnL

+$67.06

Record

49%

7973-8309 (16282)

poshposhCTR<$100

Galorys

Invested

$16.72

Value

$33.28

PnL

+$16.56

Record

59%

10176-7169 (17345)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Procyon Gaming

Invested

$24.87

Value

$16.07

PnL

-$8.8

Record

49%

19161-19553 (38714)

johnsonboyy<$100

Procyon Gaming

Invested

$10

Value

$10.6

PnL

+$0.6

Record

44%

41-53 (94)

RLWGCTR<$100

Galorys

Invested

$4.3

Value

$4.25

PnL

-$0.05

Record

50%

7900-7930 (15830)

Research grade

NeutralProcyon Gaming at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Procyon Gaming

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Procyon Gaming wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.