Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winner

5 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Inner Circle Academy (63%) · Inner Circle Academy at 100¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 11

GenOne<1¢Inner Circle Academy>99¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Inner Circle Academy

Consensus Traders

Inner Circle Academy 63%

Total Value

$3.3K

Combined PnL

$496.77

Smart Money Entry

69.7¢ → 100¢

+44% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralInner Circle Academy at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Inner Circle Academy

5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

GenOne0%

Inner Circle Academy100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Inner Circle Academy5 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares3,286

Combined PnL+$698.38

GenOne3 traders

Total Value$17.93

Total Shares662

Combined PnL-$201.62

Inner Circle Academy — 63%GenOne — 37%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 76%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

63% of non-arb traders are on Inner Circle Academy. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 76% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpInner Circle Academy 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrInner Circle Academy 50% · 4

Aligned

Hand-pickedInner Circle Academy 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Inner Circle Academy 63% · 8

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BI BillBenter2026	Inner Circle Academyavg 67.5¢	$1.2K	$1.8K	+$576.72	21% 133-486 (619)
31 319113331313111	Inner Circle Academyavg 74.7¢	$697.04	$724.95	+$27.91	50% 61-60 (121)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	Inner Circle Academyavg 70.5¢	$607.27	$664.66	+$57.39	65% 53-28 (81)
PA panpidaras1<$100	Inner Circle Academyavg 67¢	$38.09	$56.82	+$18.73	6% 18-265 (283)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	Inner Circle Academyavg 63.9¢	$35.98	$53.61	+$17.63	53% 1793-1600 (3393)
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100	GenOneavg 42.5¢	$82.91	$17.69	-$65.22	60% 642-427 (1069)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR	GenOneavg 29¢	$124	$0.21	-$123.79	28% 154-398 (552)
PA pauleta23CTR<$100	GenOneavg 20.7¢	$12.64	$0.03	-$12.61	28% 183-466 (649)

BillBenter2026

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$1,200.39

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$576.72

Record

21%

133-486 (619)

319113331313111

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$697.04

Value

$724.95

PnL

+$27.91

Record

50%

61-60 (121)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$607.27

Value

$664.66

PnL

+$57.39

Record

65%

53-28 (81)

panpidaras1<$100

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$38.09

Value

$56.82

PnL

+$18.73

Record

18-265 (283)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

Inner Circle Academy

Invested

$35.98

Value

$53.61

PnL

+$17.63

Record

53%

1793-1600 (3393)

lonmi2511CTR<$100

GenOne

Invested

$82.91

Value

$17.69

PnL

-$65.22

Record

60%

642-427 (1069)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR

GenOne

Invested

$124

Value

$0.21

PnL

-$123.79

Record

28%

154-398 (552)

pauleta23CTR<$100

GenOne

Invested

$12.64

Value

$0.03

PnL

-$12.61

Record

28%

183-466 (649)

Research grade

NeutralInner Circle Academy at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Inner Circle Academy

5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 76%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

63% of non-arb traders are on Inner Circle Academy. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 76% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpInner Circle Academy 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrInner Circle Academy 50% · 4

Aligned

Hand-pickedInner Circle Academy 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Inner Circle Academy 63% · 8

Aligned

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Inner Circle Academy wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.