Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner

6 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold GenOne (67%) · GenOne at 100¢ · $8K held · ends Oct 30

GenOne>99¢BakS eSports<1¢Ends Fri, Oct 30, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

GenOne

Consensus Traders

GenOne 67%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.6K

Combined PnL

-$93.82

Smart Money Entry

84.1¢ → 100¢

+19% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralGenOne at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

GenOne

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

GenOne100%

BakS eSports0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

GenOne6 traders

Total Value$5.1K

Total Shares5,808

Combined PnL-$111.48

BakS eSports3 traders

Total Value$1.9K

Total Shares3,797

Combined PnL+$17.66

GenOne — 67%BakS eSports — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VP Vps1	GenOneavg 99.9¢	$2.6K	$2.6K	+$1.33	96% 291-13 (304)
JohnLKellyJrCTR	BakS eSportsavg 49.9¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$4	52% 1221-1119 (2340)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	GenOneavg 74.9¢	$854.36	$880.09	+$25.73	53% 2364-2080 (4444)
BI BillBenter2026	GenOneavg 58.6¢	$954.12	$821	-$133.12	58% 18575-13635 (32210)
ARTEM-DZYUBA	GenOneavg 98.8¢	$590.4	$594.84	+$4.44	86% 5071-855 (5926)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	GenOneavg 91.2¢	$434.21	$377.54	-$56.67	52% 13717-12519 (26236)
└ GenOne leg	GenOneavg 91.2¢	$312.68	$288.05	-$24.63
└ BakS eSports leg	BakS eSportsavg 21.7¢	$121.53	$89.49	-$32.04
0X 0x4f2ARB<$100	GenOneavg 79.4¢	$205.65	$211.74	+$6.09	52% 9137-8532 (17669)
└ BakS eSports leg	BakS eSportsavg 23.9¢	$56.05	$117.5	+$61.45
└ GenOne leg	GenOneavg 79.4¢	$149.6	$94.24	-$55.36
poshposhARB<$100	GenOneavg 49.4¢	$101.75	$118.42	+$16.67	59% 9906-6885 (16791)
└ GenOne leg	GenOneavg 49.4¢	$89.43	$90.44	+$1
└ BakS eSports leg	BakS eSportsavg 22¢	$12.31	$27.99	+$15.67
TE testBruno2	GenOneavg 76¢	$770.25	$78.1	-$14.66	57% 848-627 (1475)
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5<$100	GenOneavg 44.4¢	$38.2	$43	+$4.8	46% 7901-9318 (17219)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	BakS eSportsavg 22.6¢	$15.58	$34.5	+$18.92	38% 3184-5178 (8362)
SH shiifooCTR<$100	BakS eSportsavg 8¢	$5.29	$0.03	-$5.26	60% 3322-2226 (5548)

Vps1

GenOne

Invested

$2,647.88

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$1.33

Record

96%

291-13 (304)

JohnLKellyJrCTR

BakS eSports

Invested

$1,826.73

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$4

Record

52%

1221-1119 (2340)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

GenOne

Invested

$854.36

Value

$880.09

PnL

+$25.73

Record

53%

2364-2080 (4444)

BillBenter2026

GenOne

Invested

$954.12

Value

$821

PnL

-$133.12

Record

58%

18575-13635 (32210)

ARTEM-DZYUBA

GenOne

Invested

$590.4

Value

$594.84

PnL

+$4.44

Record

86%

5071-855 (5926)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

GenOne

Invested

$434.21

Value

$377.54

PnL

-$56.67

Record

52%

13717-12519 (26236)

Both legs:

GenOne$312.6891.2¢-$24.63

BakS eSports$121.5321.7¢-$32.04

0x4f2ARB<$100

GenOne

Invested

$205.65

Value

$211.74

PnL

+$6.09

Record

52%

9137-8532 (17669)

Both legs:

BakS eSports$56.0523.9¢+$61.45

GenOne$149.679.4¢-$55.36

poshposhARB<$100

GenOne

Invested

$101.75

Value

$118.42

PnL

+$16.67

Record

59%

9906-6885 (16791)

Both legs:

GenOne$89.4349.4¢+$1

BakS eSports$12.3122¢+$15.67

testBruno2

GenOne

Invested

$770.25

Value

$78.1

PnL

-$14.66

Record

57%

848-627 (1475)

0x0d2d...7ff5<$100

GenOne

Invested

$38.2

Value

$43

PnL

+$4.8

Record

46%

7901-9318 (17219)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

BakS eSports

Invested

$15.58

Value

$34.5

PnL

+$18.92

Record

38%

3184-5178 (8362)

shiifooCTR<$100

BakS eSports

Invested

$5.29

Value

$0.03

PnL

-$5.26

Record

60%

3322-2226 (5548)

Research grade

NeutralGenOne at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

GenOne

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that GenOne wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.