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RN1UnderOverUnderUnderOver
StudyPredictionCTR<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 50%
Total Value
$5.4K
Combined PnL
$449.6
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$5.4K
Total Shares5,416
Combined PnL+$3.4K
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,266
Combined PnL$-2.9K
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1 | Underavg 32.6¢ | $1.3K | $4.1K | +$2.8K | 54% 56016-48150 (104166) |
YI yishiwuchengCTR | Overavg 66.8¢ | $2.9K | — | $-2.9K | 51% 1783-1713 (3496) |
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542 | Underavg 53¢ | $418.62 | $789.86 | +$371.23 | 47% 2442-2739 (5181) |
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989 | Underavg 54¢ | $270 | $500 | +$230 | 53% 5542-4910 (10452) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Overavg 39¢ | $15.6 | — | -$15.6 | 47% 2160-2464 (4624) |
StudyPredictionCTR<$100 | Overavg 42¢ | $1.94 | — | -$1.94 | 53% 4563-3973 (8536) |
RN1Invested
$1,344.35
Value
$4.1K
PnL
+$2.8K
Record
54%
56016-48150 (104166)
YI
yishiwuchengCTRInvested
$2,915.94
Value
—
PnL
$-2.9K
Record
51%
1783-1713 (3496)
0X
0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542Invested
$418.62
Value
$789.86
PnL
+$371.23
Record
47%
2442-2739 (5181)
0X
0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989Invested
$270
Value
$500
PnL
+$230
Record
53%
5542-4910 (10452)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$15.6
Value
—
PnL
-$15.6
Record
47%
2160-2464 (4624)
StudyPredictionCTR<$100Invested
$1.94
Value
—
PnL
-$1.94
Record
53%
4563-3973 (8536)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x392dca15...ff3896
Slug
cs2-fut-nemi1-2026-10-29-total-games-2pt5