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RN1Under
StudyPredictionARB<$100Over
poshposhCTR<$100OverUnderUnder
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Under 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.6K
Combined PnL
$371.65
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$1.6K
Total Shares1,563
Combined PnL+$383.29
Over1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares44
Combined PnL-$11.64
Under — 75%Over — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1 | Underavg 75.5¢ | $1.2K | $1.6K | +$382.66 | 54% 55353-47409 (102762) |
StudyPredictionARB<$100 | Overavg 27¢ | $99.34 | $35.03 | -$64.3 | 54% 4511-3901 (8412) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 27¢ | $74.46 | — | -$74.46 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 71¢ | $24.87 | $35.03 | +$10.16 | |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Overavg 20¢ | $8.79 | — | -$11.64 | 60% 9116-6042 (15158) |
SE seeeeeeb<$100 | Underavg 85¢ | $1.86 | $2.19 | +$0.33 | 49% 617-630 (1247) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Underavg 86¢ | $1.85 | $2.15 | +$0.3 | 67% 23032-11433 (34465) |
RN1Invested
$1,176.34
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$382.66
Record
54%
55353-47409 (102762)
StudyPredictionARB<$100Invested
$99.34
Value
$35.03
PnL
-$64.3
Record
54%
4511-3901 (8412)
Both legs:
Over$74.4627¢-$74.46
Under$24.8771¢+$10.16
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$8.79
Value
—
PnL
-$11.64
Record
60%
9116-6042 (15158)
SE
seeeeeeb<$100Invested
$1.86
Value
$2.19
PnL
+$0.33
Record
49%
617-630 (1247)
PA
pauleta23<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
$2.15
PnL
+$0.3
Record
67%
23032-11433 (34465)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcf68ba47...b0ffb4
Slug
cs2-furia-tyloo-2026-10-27-total-games-2pt5