Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Eternal Fire — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Eternal Fire
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Eternal Fire - Map 4 Winner
Resolved Eternal Fire. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Eternal Fire. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Eternal Fire 67%
1 arb excluded
$120.0K
$8.8K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PN pnhct | Eternal Fireavg 71¢ | $36.8K | $35.0K | $-1.9K | 54% 505-431 (936) |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554ARB<$100 | Eternal Fireavg 62.2¢ | $13.1K | $12.8K | -$298.91 | 53% 3169-2792 (5961) |
| └ fnatic leg | fnaticavg 20.3¢ | $5.2K | — | $-5.2K | |
| └ Eternal Fire leg | Eternal Fireavg 62.2¢ | $8.0K | $12.8K | +$4.9K | |
II iii252 | Eternal Fireavg 80.1¢ | $26.7K | $17.7K | -$986.75 | 57% 1133-868 (2001) |
AA aaaa298 | Eternal Fireavg 76.2¢ | $17.7K | $9.6K | +$488.38 | 59% 781-549 (1330) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Eternal Fireavg 53.1¢ | $8.1K | $15.2K | +$7.1K | 49% 19009-19414 (38423) |
 noreasapa | Eternal Fireavg 99¢ | $5.0K | $5.0K | +$50.42 | 91% 3578-334 (3912) |
RE redvinny | Eternal Fireavg 88.5¢ | $6.1K | $4.7K | +$663.89 | 75% 1499-502 (2001) |
LL lllllllIlll | Eternal Fireavg 51.1¢ | $3.6K | $7.1K | +$3.5K | 54% 299-250 (549) |
LU luckycat888888CTR | fnaticavg 48¢ | $3.4K | — | $-3.4K | 53% 50-45 (95) |
 DumplingBMF | Eternal Fireavg 52.7¢ | $2.7K | $5.1K | +$2.5K | 68% 1815-844 (2659) |
46 467j6yj | Eternal Fireavg 84.5¢ | $3.5K | $4.2K | +$645.24 | 97% 3306-116 (3422) |
WI WiretransferxyzCTR | fnaticavg 44.9¢ | $1.7K | — | $-1.7K | 53% 752-664 (1416) |
 forsenxd | Eternal Fireavg 53¢ | $1.4K | $2.6K | +$1.2K | 53% 1061-928 (1989) |
NU nuukiCTR | fnaticavg 42¢ | $754.56 | — | -$754.56 | 44% 131-169 (300) |
 latvian.demonCTR | fnaticavg 51¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.3K | 54% 680-574 (1254) |
FK fkAL | Eternal Fireavg 38¢ | $200.36 | $527.25 | +$326.9 | 63% 2030-1199 (3229) |
MA manoamanoCTR | fnaticavg 46¢ | $243.65 | — | -$243.65 | 51% 467-451 (918) |
HU hurrican | Eternal Fireavg 58¢ | $220 | $379.31 | +$161.21 | 71% 1013-413 (1426) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | fnaticavg 22.8¢ | $34.44 | — | -$34.44 | 38% 3213-5245 (8458) |
 poshposh<$100 | Eternal Fireavg 54.4¢ | $49.2 | $86 | +$36.8 | 59% 9948-6921 (16869) |
TO TommyLeePeeca | Eternal Fireavg 53¢ | $624.74 | $24.75 | +$11.63 | 54% 1090-944 (2034) |
PA panpidaras1CTR | fnaticavg 13.8¢ | $3.5K | — | +$27.73 | 52% 194-181 (375) |
IV Ivan948 | Eternal Fireavg 57¢ | $3.1K | $0.01 | +$2.4K | 44% 67-86 (153) |
Invested
$36,839.44
Value
$35.0K
PnL
$-1.9K
Record
54%
505-431 (936)
Invested
$13,138.92
Value
$12.8K
PnL
-$298.91
Record
53%
3169-2792 (5961)
Both legs:
Invested
$26,659.65
Value
$17.7K
PnL
-$986.75
Record
57%
1133-868 (2001)
Invested
$17,746.31
Value
$9.6K
PnL
+$488.38
Record
59%
781-549 (1330)
Invested
$8,057.77
Value
$15.2K
PnL
+$7.1K
Record
49%
19009-19414 (38423)
noreasapaInvested
$4,991.45
Value
$5.0K
PnL
+$50.42
Record
91%
3578-334 (3912)
Invested
$6,138.4
Value
$4.7K
PnL
+$663.89
Record
75%
1499-502 (2001)
Invested
$3,602.03
Value
$7.1K
PnL
+$3.5K
Record
54%
299-250 (549)
Invested
$3,360
Value
—
PnL
$-3.4K
Record
53%
50-45 (95)
DumplingBMFInvested
$2,685.91
Value
$5.1K
PnL
+$2.5K
Record
68%
1815-844 (2659)
Invested
$3,506.11
Value
$4.2K
PnL
+$645.24
Record
97%
3306-116 (3422)
Invested
$1,710.04
Value
—
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
53%
752-664 (1416)
forsenxdInvested
$1,354.16
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
53%
1061-928 (1989)
Invested
$754.56
Value
—
PnL
-$754.56
Record
44%
131-169 (300)
latvian.demonCTRInvested
$1,529.98
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
54%
680-574 (1254)
Invested
$200.36
Value
$527.25
PnL
+$326.9
Record
63%
2030-1199 (3229)
Invested
$243.65
Value
—
PnL
-$243.65
Record
51%
467-451 (918)
Invested
$220
Value
$379.31
PnL
+$161.21
Record
71%
1013-413 (1426)
Invested
$34.44
Value
—
PnL
-$34.44
Record
38%
3213-5245 (8458)
poshposh<$100Invested
$49.2
Value
$86
PnL
+$36.8
Record
59%
9948-6921 (16869)
Invested
$624.74
Value
$24.75
PnL
+$11.63
Record
54%
1090-944 (2034)
Invested
$3,516.93
Value
—
PnL
+$27.73
Record
52%
194-181 (375)
Invested
$3,134.99
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$2.4K
Record
44%
67-86 (153)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
pnhct
Eternal Fire — $35.0K
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
ARBArbitrage — excluded
iii252
Eternal Fire — $17.7K
aaaa298
Eternal Fire — $9.6K
omnibus-076daa
Eternal Fire — $15.2K
noreasapa
Eternal Fire — $5.0K
redvinny
Eternal Fire — $4.7K
lllllllIlll
Eternal Fire — $7.1K
luckycat888888
CTRfnatic — $0
DumplingBMF
Eternal Fire — $5.1K