Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner

15 of 25 top Polymarket traders hold FaZe (60%) · FaZe at 82¢ · $49K held · ends Oct 29

FaZe82¢GamerLegion18¢Ends Thu, Oct 29, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔬

Research candidate

FaZe

Consensus Traders

FaZe 60%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$49.2K

Combined PnL

$512.27

Smart Money Entry

68.6¢ → 81.5¢

+19% since entry · 15 traders

Research grade

Research candidateFaZe at 82%

Matches a rule that looked positive after costs in the short windows of our Oct 22 2026 backtest. The full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found no evidence for any of these rules: out of sample they lost money or were noise. A label for a pattern that once looked good, not an edge and not a recommendation.

Quality net +3 or moreNot confirmed. Oct 22 backtest: net +3 when the consensus formed made +7.2 % a trade (n 358), with 5 events giving two thirds of it. Full year, out of sample, the closest rule (3+ proven winners, two thirds on the side) lost −1.9 % a trade (n 49,161, 95 % CI −2.6 to −1.1).
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

FaZe

15 of 25 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

FaZe82%

GamerLegion19%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

FaZe15 traders

Total Value$34.1K

Total Shares40,756

Combined PnL+$60

GamerLegion10 traders

Total Value$11.6K

Total Shares28,989

Combined PnL+$452.27

FaZe — 60%GamerLegion — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	FaZeavg 68.2¢	$11.3K	$11.2K	-$128.29	53% 2322-2056 (4378)
XA xasdasdas21	FaZeavg 71.6¢	$6.0K	$5.8K	-$172.92	— 3-7 (10)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	FaZeavg 69¢	$4.7K	$4.7K	+$6.77	52% 13643-12473 (26116)
CA calculate10	FaZeavg 67.2¢	$7.6K	$4.4K	+$285.64	53% 1221-1074 (2295)
JohnLKellyJrCTR	GamerLegionavg 33.6¢	$3.4K	$3.6K	+$198.12	52% 1210-1099 (2309)
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100	FaZeavg 68¢	$3.8K	$3.4K	-$378.68	58% 18486-13571 (32057)
└ FaZe leg	FaZeavg 68¢	$2.3K	$2.7K	+$449.31
└ GamerLegion leg	GamerLegionavg 40.7¢	$1.5K	$690.03	-$827.99
UN UnknownpoluyCTR	GamerLegionavg 45.2¢	$3.4K	$3.3K	-$125.99	44% 94-121 (215)
46 467j6yj	FaZeavg 85.7¢	$3.1K	$3.1K	+$64.15	97% 3249-113 (3362)
ER erw322CTR	GamerLegionavg 44.7¢	$2.0K	$1.9K	-$52.91	46% 172-199 (371)
Gamer-GirlCTR	GamerLegionavg 41.7¢	$888.84	$1.2K	+$356.8	43% 1780-2348 (4128)
0X 0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237	FaZeavg 44.7¢	$895.42	$1.1K	+$235.83	50% 334-330 (664)
RE redvinny	FaZeavg 87.9¢	$2.9K	$961.02	-$456.94	75% 1477-499 (1976)
IV Ivan948CTR	GamerLegionavg 39.4¢	$967.62	$872.33	-$95.29	44% 59-76 (135)
0X 0x63792b1833fB76595e65Dd0b91CBd8dea8a8c035-1791439997825	FaZeavg 42¢	$555	$733.39	+$178.39	46% 73-87 (160)
BA BAPEHUKCTR	GamerLegionavg 36¢	$359.99	$434.99	+$75	49% 406-420 (826)
poshposh	FaZeavg 68.5¢	$502.45	$431.26	-$71.2	59% 9671-6658 (16329)
AR arbmonitor	FaZeavg 77.7¢	$417.05	$410.51	-$6.54	44% 562-723 (1285)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	FaZeavg 58¢	$290.01	$322.51	+$32.5	59% 30213-20922 (51135)
GR Grool	FaZeavg 60¢	$180	$253.5	+$73.5	54% 1597-1375 (2972)
SE seeeeeeb	FaZeavg 58.4¢	$250.14	$248.24	-$1.9	51% 707-677 (1384)
PA pauleta23	FaZeavg 59.1¢	$250.13	$245.62	-$4.51	67% 23201-11599 (34800)
PA panpidaras1	FaZeavg 55.5¢	$127.21	$129.27	+$25.51	52% 183-168 (351)
MR MrConsistencyCTR	GamerLegionavg 27¢	$110.95	$108.9	-$2.05	39% 555-851 (1406)
0X 0x4f2ARB<$100	FaZeavg 66¢	$107.42	$104.26	-$3.16	52% 9109-8514 (17623)
└ GamerLegion leg	GamerLegionavg 28.1¢	$25.2	$52.53	+$27.33
└ FaZe leg	FaZeavg 66¢	$82.22	$51.74	-$30.49
GT gt7238CTR<$100	GamerLegionavg 16.8¢	$91.47	$89.76	-$1.71	45% 599-729 (1328)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

FaZe

Invested

$11,349.89

Value

$11.2K

PnL

-$128.29

Record

53%

2322-2056 (4378)

xasdasdas21

FaZe

Invested

$6,010.92

Value

$5.8K

PnL

-$172.92

Record

—

3-7 (10)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

FaZe

Invested

$4,666.53

Value

$4.7K

PnL

+$6.77

Record

52%

13643-12473 (26116)

calculate10

FaZe

Invested

$7,575.69

Value

$4.4K

PnL

+$285.64

Record

53%

1221-1074 (2295)

JohnLKellyJrCTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$3,415.91

Value

$3.6K

PnL

+$198.12

Record

52%

1210-1099 (2309)

BillBenter2026ARB<$100

FaZe

Invested

$3,779.57

Value

$3.4K

PnL

-$378.68

Record

58%

18486-13571 (32057)

Both legs:

FaZe$2,261.5568¢+$449.31

GamerLegion$1,518.0240.7¢-$827.99

UnknownpoluyCTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$3,378

Value

$3.3K

PnL

-$125.99

Record

44%

94-121 (215)

467j6yj

FaZe

Invested

$3,076.7

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$64.15

Record

97%

3249-113 (3362)

erw322CTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$2,000

Value

$1.9K

PnL

-$52.91

Record

46%

172-199 (371)

Gamer-GirlCTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$888.84

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$356.8

Record

43%

1780-2348 (4128)

0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237

FaZe

Invested

$895.42

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$235.83

Record

50%

334-330 (664)

redvinny

FaZe

Invested

$2,948.36

Value

$961.02

PnL

-$456.94

Record

75%

1477-499 (1976)

Ivan948CTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$967.62

Value

$872.33

PnL

-$95.29

Record

44%

59-76 (135)

0x63792b1833fB76595e65Dd0b91CBd8dea8a8c035-1791439997825

FaZe

Invested

$555

Value

$733.39

PnL

+$178.39

Record

46%

73-87 (160)

BAPEHUKCTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$359.99

Value

$434.99

PnL

+$75

Record

49%

406-420 (826)

poshposh

FaZe

Invested

$502.45

Value

$431.26

PnL

-$71.2

Record

59%

9671-6658 (16329)

arbmonitor

FaZe

Invested

$417.05

Value

$410.51

PnL

-$6.54

Record

44%

562-723 (1285)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

FaZe

Invested

$290.01

Value

$322.51

PnL

+$32.5

Record

59%

30213-20922 (51135)

Grool

FaZe

Invested

$180

Value

$253.5

PnL

+$73.5

Record

54%

1597-1375 (2972)

seeeeeeb

FaZe

Invested

$250.14

Value

$248.24

PnL

-$1.9

Record

51%

707-677 (1384)

pauleta23

FaZe

Invested

$250.13

Value

$245.62

PnL

-$4.51

Record

67%

23201-11599 (34800)

panpidaras1

FaZe

Invested

$127.21

Value

$129.27

PnL

+$25.51

Record

52%

183-168 (351)

MrConsistencyCTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$110.95

Value

$108.9

PnL

-$2.05

Record

39%

555-851 (1406)

0x4f2ARB<$100

FaZe

Invested

$107.42

Value

$104.26

PnL

-$3.16

Record

52%

9109-8514 (17623)

Both legs:

GamerLegion$25.228.1¢+$27.33

FaZe$82.2266¢-$30.49

gt7238CTR<$100

GamerLegion

Invested

$91.47

Value

$89.76

PnL

-$1.71

Record

45%

599-729 (1328)

Research grade

Research candidateFaZe at 82%

Quality net +3 or moreNot confirmed. Oct 22 backtest: net +3 when the consensus formed made +7.2 % a trade (n 358), with 5 events giving two thirds of it. Full year, out of sample, the closest rule (3+ proven winners, two thirds on the side) lost −1.9 % a trade (n 49,161, 95 % CI −2.6 to −1.1).
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

FaZe

15 of 25 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that FaZe wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance83.2%

81.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$20.16

Max Loss

-$100.00

120.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.