
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner
4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold GamerLegion (67%) · GamerLegion at 100¢ · $23K held · ends Oct 29
⚖️
Neutral
GamerLegion
6
GamerLegion 67%
3 arb excluded
$23.3K
-$310.83
74.3¢ → 100¢
+35% since entry · 4 traders
Research grade
NeutralGamerLegion at 100%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() c4acap | GamerLegionavg 99.9¢ | $8.4K | $8.4K | +$4.21 | 98% 2395-40 (2435) |
![]() 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | GamerLegionavg 54.2¢ | $8.4K | $8.1K | -$376.21 | 53% 2322-2056 (4378) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | GamerLegionavg 60.5¢ | $2.6K | $2.7K | +$60.91 | 52% 13642-12471 (26113) |
PA panpidaras1ARB<$100 | FaZeavg 43.3¢ | $1.1K | $1.5K | +$419.63 | 52% 183-167 (350) |
| └ GamerLegion leg | GamerLegionavg 28.3¢ | $419.04 | $835.3 | +$416.26 | |
| └ FaZe leg | FaZeavg 43.3¢ | $659.39 | $662.76 | +$3.37 | |
DE delacsynzy1CTR | FaZeavg 58.7¢ | $1.0K | $979.15 | -$20.85 | 52% 444-417 (861) |
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100 | FaZeavg 58.6¢ | $1.2K | $712.91 | -$478.46 | 58% 18484-13569 (32053) |
| └ FaZe leg | FaZeavg 58.6¢ | $999 | $520.39 | -$478.61 | |
| └ GamerLegion leg | GamerLegionavg 69.4¢ | $192.37 | $192.52 | +$0.14 | |
CA calculate10 | GamerLegionavg 45.3¢ | $2.0K | $639.05 | +$90.12 | 53% 1221-1074 (2295) |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR | FaZeavg 48.3¢ | $282.68 | $213.66 | -$69.01 | 53% 3128-2760 (5888) |
![]() poshposhARB<$100 | FaZeavg 44.7¢ | $217.18 | $101.69 | -$115.49 | 59% 9671-6655 (16326) |
| └ GamerLegion leg | GamerLegionavg 45¢ | $32.79 | $66.67 | +$33.88 | |
| └ FaZe leg | FaZeavg 44.7¢ | $184.39 | $35.03 | -$149.37 |
c4acapInvested
$8,412.83
Value
$8.4K
PnL
+$4.21
Record
98%
2395-40 (2435)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$8,443.25
Value
$8.1K
PnL
-$376.21
Record
53%
2322-2056 (4378)
Invested
$2,620.68
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$60.91
Record
52%
13642-12471 (26113)
Invested
$1,078.43
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$419.63
Record
52%
183-167 (350)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,000
Value
$979.15
PnL
-$20.85
Record
52%
444-417 (861)
Invested
$1,191.37
Value
$712.91
PnL
-$478.46
Record
58%
18484-13569 (32053)
Both legs:
Invested
$2,049.22
Value
$639.05
PnL
+$90.12
Record
53%
1221-1074 (2295)
Invested
$282.68
Value
$213.66
PnL
-$69.01
Record
53%
3128-2760 (5888)
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$217.18
Value
$101.69
PnL
-$115.49
Record
59%
9671-6655 (16326)
Both legs:
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market

c4acap
GamerLegion — $8.4K

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
GamerLegion — $8.1K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
GamerLegion — $2.7K
panpidaras1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
delacsynzy1
CTRFaZe — $979.15
BillBenter2026
ARBArbitrage — excluded
calculate10
GamerLegion — $639.05
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
CTRFaZe — $213.66

poshposh
ARBArbitrage — excluded