Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner

6 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold Envy (50%) · Envy at 100¢ · $9K held · ends Oct 28

Envy>99¢GamerLegion<1¢Ends Wed, Oct 28, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Envy

Consensus Traders

Envy 50%

Total Value

$8.7K

Combined PnL

$759.97

Smart Money Entry

53.1¢ → 100¢

+88% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralEnvy at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Envy

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Envy100%

GamerLegion0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Envy6 traders

Total Value$6.7K

Total Shares10,312

Combined PnL+$628.14

GamerLegion6 traders

Total Value$2.0K

Total Shares6,078

Combined PnL+$131.83

Envy — 50%GamerLegion — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BI BillBenter2026	Envyavg 50.5¢	$1.8K	$2.4K	+$575.04	58% 18304-13452 (31756)
SP spartachio	Envyavg 46¢	$1.8K	$1.9K	+$173.03	48% 687-738 (1425)
LL lllllllIlll	Envyavg 57.4¢	$1.3K	$1.2K	-$114.07	55% 282-228 (510)
DE delacsynzy1CTR	GamerLegionavg 45¢	$1.0K	$977.78	-$22.22	51% 427-413 (840)
AS astapzippo	Envyavg 82.6¢	$663.58	$662.45	-$1.13	56% 2109-1643 (3752)
PA panpidaras1CTR	GamerLegionavg 10¢	$269.5	$444.68	+$175.18	53% 172-153 (325)
latvian.demon	Envyavg 56¢	$390.3	$386.81	-$3.48	54% 619-530 (1149)
PI PIPIZINCTR	GamerLegionavg 52.1¢	$300	$313.62	+$13.62	51% 390-372 (762)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR	GamerLegionavg 41¢	$115.68	$134.01	+$18.34	47% 2368-2640 (5008)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Envyavg 46¢	$115	$113.75	-$1.25	59% 29934-20654 (50588)
poshposhCTR	GamerLegionavg 38.2¢	$156.04	$103.13	-$52.91	60% 9116-6042 (15158)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	GamerLegionavg 48¢	$2.4	$2.23	-$0.18	50% 7576-7601 (15177)

BillBenter2026

Envy

Invested

$1,789.64

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$575.04

Record

58%

18304-13452 (31756)

spartachio

Envy

Invested

$1,768.78

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$173.03

Record

48%

687-738 (1425)

lllllllIlll

Envy

Invested

$1,334.11

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$114.07

Record

55%

282-228 (510)

delacsynzy1CTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$1,000

Value

$977.78

PnL

-$22.22

Record

51%

427-413 (840)

astapzippo

Envy

Invested

$663.58

Value

$662.45

PnL

-$1.13

Record

56%

2109-1643 (3752)

panpidaras1CTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$269.5

Value

$444.68

PnL

+$175.18

Record

53%

172-153 (325)

latvian.demon

Envy

Invested

$390.3

Value

$386.81

PnL

-$3.48

Record

54%

619-530 (1149)

PIPIZINCTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$300

Value

$313.62

PnL

+$13.62

Record

51%

390-372 (762)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$115.68

Value

$134.01

PnL

+$18.34

Record

47%

2368-2640 (5008)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Envy

Invested

$115

Value

$113.75

PnL

-$1.25

Record

59%

29934-20654 (50588)

poshposhCTR

GamerLegion

Invested

$156.04

Value

$103.13

PnL

-$52.91

Record

60%

9116-6042 (15158)

RLWGCTR<$100

GamerLegion

Invested

$2.4

Value

$2.23

PnL

-$0.18

Record

50%

7576-7601 (15177)

Research grade

NeutralEnvy at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Envy

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Envy wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.