
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner
4 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold EYEBALLERS (80%) · EYEBALLERS at 100¢ · $920 held · ends Nov 11
⚖️
Neutral
EYEBALLERS
5
EYEBALLERS 80%
$920.34
-$127.9
72¢ → 100¢
+39% since entry · 4 traders
Research grade
NeutralEYEBALLERS at 100%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 319113331313111 | EYEBALLERSavg 69.4¢ | $349.08 | $424.8 | +$75.73 | 51% 61-59 (120) |
![]() 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | EYEBALLERSavg 75.5¢ | $446.39 | $391.62 | -$54.77 | 65% 52-28 (80) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Esport Academy Copenhagenavg 45¢ | $235 | $80.94 | -$154.06 | 28% 151-392 (543) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | EYEBALLERSavg 76.7¢ | $12.32 | $13.6 | +$2.54 | 28% 179-466 (645) |
LO lonmi2511<$100 | EYEBALLERSavg 57¢ | $6.72 | $9.38 | +$2.66 | 60% 641-427 (1068) |
Invested
$349.08
Value
$424.8
PnL
+$75.73
Record
51%
61-59 (120)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$446.39
Value
$391.62
PnL
-$54.77
Record
65%
52-28 (80)
Invested
$235
Value
$80.94
PnL
-$154.06
Record
28%
151-392 (543)
Invested
$12.32
Value
$13.6
PnL
+$2.54
Record
28%
179-466 (645)
Invested
$6.72
Value
$9.38
PnL
+$2.66
Record
60%
641-427 (1068)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.