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Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner

6 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold DENDELE CS (55%) · DENDELE CS at 100¢ · $10K held · ends Nov 2

DENDELE CS>99¢Imperial<1¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

DENDELE CS

Consensus Traders

11

DENDELE CS 55%

Total Value

$9.5K

Combined PnL

$322.83

Smart Money Entry

59.6¢ → 100¢

+68% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralDENDELE CS at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

  • Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
  • Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

DENDELE CS

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

DENDELE CS100%
Imperial0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

DENDELE CS6 traders
Total Value$7.2K
Total Shares8,016
Combined PnL+$453.04
Imperial5 traders
Total Value$2.3K
Total Shares5,444
Combined PnL-$130.2
DENDELE CS — 55%Imperial — 45%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.10
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x5cd63093...0514bc
Slug
cs2-dendel-imp11-2026-11-01-game1
Trade on Polymarket