Counter-Strike: Copenhagen Wolves vs gothboiclique (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

2 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Copenhagen Wolves (40%) · Copenhagen Wolves at 74¢ · $1K held · ends Oct 30

Copenhagen Wolves74¢gothboiclique26¢Ends Fri, Oct 30, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Copenhagen Wolves

Consensus Traders

Copenhagen Wolves 40%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$24.76

Smart Money Entry

68.3¢ → 74.3¢

+9% since entry · 2 traders

Research grade

NeutralCopenhagen Wolves at 74%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Copenhagen Wolves

2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Copenhagen Wolves74%

gothboiclique26%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Copenhagen Wolves2 traders

Total Value$194.06

Total Shares291

Combined PnL-$11.57

gothboiclique3 traders

Total Value$191.85

Total Shares621

Combined PnL-$13.19

Copenhagen Wolves — 40%gothboiclique — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100	Copenhagen Wolvesavg 69.4¢	$468.22	$495.46	+$27.24	53% 2368-2080 (4448)
└ Copenhagen Wolves leg	Copenhagen Wolvesavg 69.4¢	$317.63	$309.72	-$7.91
└ gothboiclique leg	gothboicliqueavg 26.2¢	$150.59	$185.74	+$35.15
poshposhARB<$100	Copenhagen Wolvesavg 63.7¢	$210.39	$219.14	+$8.75	59% 9914-6887 (16801)
└ Copenhagen Wolves leg	Copenhagen Wolvesavg 63.7¢	$154	$157.81	+$3.82
└ gothboiclique leg	gothboicliqueavg 31.9¢	$56.4	$61.33	+$4.94
0X 0x4f2	Copenhagen Wolvesavg 68¢	$150.45	$149.24	-$1.21	52% 9138-8533 (17671)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	gothboicliqueavg 32.9¢	$136.32	$117.34	-$18.98	38% 3185-5189 (8374)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	gothboicliqueavg 43¢	$44.6	$50.82	+$6.22	46% 7940-9367 (17307)
TE testBruno2<$100	Copenhagen Wolvesavg 69.1¢	$69.94	$44.82	-$10.36	57% 849-628 (1477)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	gothboicliqueavg 23.4¢	$24.12	$23.69	-$0.43	59% 30364-21075 (51439)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fARB<$100

Copenhagen Wolves

Invested

$468.22

Value

$495.46

PnL

+$27.24

Record

53%

2368-2080 (4448)

Both legs:

Copenhagen Wolves$317.6369.4¢-$7.91

gothboiclique$150.5926.2¢+$35.15

poshposhARB<$100

Copenhagen Wolves

Invested

$210.39

Value

$219.14

PnL

+$8.75

Record

59%

9914-6887 (16801)

Both legs:

Copenhagen Wolves$15463.7¢+$3.82

gothboiclique$56.431.9¢+$4.94

0x4f2

Copenhagen Wolves

Invested

$150.45

Value

$149.24

PnL

-$1.21

Record

52%

9138-8533 (17671)

topdogbigboiCTR

gothboiclique

Invested

$136.32

Value

$117.34

PnL

-$18.98

Record

38%

3185-5189 (8374)

38791873984189CTR<$100

gothboiclique

Invested

$44.6

Value

$50.82

PnL

+$6.22

Record

46%

7940-9367 (17307)

testBruno2<$100

Copenhagen Wolves

Invested

$69.94

Value

$44.82

PnL

-$10.36

Record

57%

849-628 (1477)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

gothboiclique

Invested

$24.12

Value

$23.69

PnL

-$0.43

Record

59%

30364-21075 (51439)

Research grade

NeutralCopenhagen Wolves at 74%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Copenhagen Wolves

2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Copenhagen Wolves wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance76.2%

74.3¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$31.27

Max Loss

-$100.00

131.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.