Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs

5 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Betclic Apogee Esports (50%) · Betclic Apogee Esports at 99¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 13

Betclic Apogee Esports99¢Leo Team1¢Ends Fri, Nov 13, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Betclic Apogee Esports

Consensus Traders

Betclic Apogee Esports 50%

Total Value

$3.5K

Combined PnL

$171.22

Smart Money Entry

80¢ → 98.5¢

+23% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralBetclic Apogee Esports at 99%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Betclic Apogee Esports

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Betclic Apogee Esports99%

Leo Team2%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Betclic Apogee Esports5 traders

Total Value$3.1K

Total Shares3,142

Combined PnL+$315.1

Leo Team5 traders

Total Value$395.59

Total Shares1,372

Combined PnL-$143.89

Betclic Apogee Esports — 50%Leo Team — 50%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+15 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 88%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

44% of non-arb traders are on Betclic Apogee Esports. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 88% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrLeo Team 67% · 6

Diverging

Top 1000Leo Team 56% · 9

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 78.1¢	$2.0K	$2.1K	+$303.75	56% 3978-3112 (7090)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f	Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 80.5¢	$394.5	$423.69	+$29.19	60% 133-87 (220)
NO NotJumpCTR	Leo Teamavg 44.6¢	$270.5	$268.5	-$2	53% 631-566 (1197)
GA Gaditima	Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 79.2¢	$197.98	$222.5	+$24.52	47% 224-251 (475)
31 319113331313111	Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 93.4¢	$583.4	$174	-$37.29	57% 150-113 (263)
poshposh	Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 91¢	$153.48	$148.42	-$5.06	46% 781-902 (1683)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	Leo Teamavg 24.4¢	$160.64	$78.92	-$81.73	37% 657-1141 (1798)
GT gt7238CTR<$100	Leo Teamavg 29¢	$62.35	$25.8	-$36.55	7% 34-480 (514)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Leo Teamavg 24.5¢	$44.43	$21.78	-$22.66	53% 6618-5816 (12434)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Leo Teamavg 31¢	$1.55	$0.6	-$0.95	44% 391-495 (886)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Betclic Apogee Esports

Invested

$2,016.87

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$303.75

Record

56%

3978-3112 (7090)

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f

Betclic Apogee Esports

Invested

$394.5

Value

$423.69

PnL

+$29.19

Record

60%

133-87 (220)

NotJumpCTR

Leo Team

Invested

$270.5

Value

$268.5

PnL

-$2

Record

53%

631-566 (1197)

Gaditima

Betclic Apogee Esports

Invested

$197.98

Value

$222.5

PnL

+$24.52

Record

47%

224-251 (475)

319113331313111

Betclic Apogee Esports

Invested

$583.4

Value

$174

PnL

-$37.29

Record

57%

150-113 (263)

poshposh

Betclic Apogee Esports

Invested

$153.48

Value

$148.42

PnL

-$5.06

Record

46%

781-902 (1683)

topdogbigboiCTR

Leo Team

Invested

$160.64

Value

$78.92

PnL

-$81.73

Record

37%

657-1141 (1798)

gt7238CTR<$100

Leo Team

Invested

$62.35

Value

$25.8

PnL

-$36.55

Record

34-480 (514)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Leo Team

Invested

$44.43

Value

$21.78

PnL

-$22.66

Record

53%

6618-5816 (12434)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Leo Team

Invested

$1.55

Value

$0.6

PnL

-$0.95

Record

44%

391-495 (886)

Research grade

NeutralBetclic Apogee Esports at 99%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Betclic Apogee Esports

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+15 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 88%

Freshness

Fresh

1h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

44% of non-arb traders are on Betclic Apogee Esports. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 88% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrLeo Team 67% · 6

Diverging

Top 1000Leo Team 56% · 9

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Betclic Apogee Esports wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.5%

98.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.48

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.