
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
6 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Betclic Apogee Esports (100%) · Betclic Apogee Esports at 100¢ · $7K held · ends Nov 2
⚖️
Neutral
Betclic Apogee Esports
6
Betclic Apogee Esports 100%
$6.7K
$277.14
81.6¢ → 100¢
+22% since entry · 6 traders
Research grade
NeutralBetclic Apogee Esports at 100%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
6 of 6 top traders (100%)2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VP Vps1 | Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 99.9¢ | $3.3K | $3.3K | +$1.65 | 96% 322-15 (337) |
![]() 0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 59¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$44.52 | 54% 2460-2113 (4573) |
RR rrooster | Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 83.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$133.15 | 63% 1345-796 (2141) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 29.1¢ | $150.05 | $267.79 | +$117.73 | 59% 30682-21402 (52084) |
0X 0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237<$100 | Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 65.5¢ | $99.72 | $79.2 | -$20.52 | 51% 351-343 (694) |
46 467j6yj<$100 | Betclic Apogee Esportsavg 99¢ | $63.58 | $64.19 | +$0.61 | 97% 3389-119 (3508) |
Invested
$3,290.57
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$1.65
Record
96%
322-15 (337)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$1,538.46
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$44.52
Record
54%
2460-2113 (4573)
Invested
$1,296.19
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$133.15
Record
63%
1345-796 (2141)
Invested
$150.05
Value
$267.79
PnL
+$117.73
Record
59%
30682-21402 (52084)
Invested
$99.72
Value
$79.2
PnL
-$20.52
Record
51%
351-343 (694)
Invested
$63.58
Value
$64.19
PnL
+$0.61
Record
97%
3389-119 (3508)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Vps1
Betclic Apogee Esports — $3.3K

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
Betclic Apogee Esports — $1.6K
rrooster
Betclic Apogee Esports — $1.4K
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Betclic Apogee Esports — $267.79
0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237
Betclic Apogee Esports — $79.2
467j6yj
Betclic Apogee Esports — $64.19