Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

3 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold BetBoom Team (33%) · BetBoom Team at 100¢ · $11K held · ends Oct 26

Natus Vincere<1¢BetBoom Team>99¢Ends Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

BetBoom Team

Consensus Traders

BetBoom Team 33%

Total Value

$10.6K

Combined PnL

$150.06

Smart Money Entry

65.8¢ → 100¢

+52% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Spread or totalSpreads and totals: −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Natus Vincere0%

BetBoom Team100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BetBoom Team3 traders

Total Value$7.3K

Total Shares10,971

Combined PnL+$124.47

Natus Vincere6 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares9,422

Combined PnL+$25.59

BetBoom Team — 33%Natus Vincere — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	BetBoom Teamavg 63.2¢	$4.3K	$4.4K	+$155.41	54% 51866-43791 (95657)
NO nobody2somebody	BetBoom Teamavg 66.3¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	-$31.17	52% 589-549 (1138)
puntobigbossCTR	Natus Vincereavg 34.9¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	-$16.18	67% 65-32 (97)
relativesignificanceCTR	Natus Vincereavg 34¢	$781.92	$793.42	+$11.5	58% 77-55 (132)
0X 0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR	Natus Vincereavg 34¢	$514.43	$522	+$7.57	54% 116-97 (213)
ZX zxc368	BetBoom Teamavg 99.9¢	$473.8	$474.03	+$0.24	99% 10810-156 (10966)
JA jakepaulthegoat2008CTR	Natus Vincereavg 33¢	$440.74	$460.77	+$20.03	49% 7208-7354 (14562)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR<$100	Natus Vincereavg 33¢	$26.32	$27.52	+$1.2	53% 5255-4588 (9843)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR<$100	Natus Vincereavg 32¢	$18.97	$20.45	+$1.48	47% 2260-2508 (4768)

RN1

BetBoom Team

Invested

$4,251.17

Value

$4.4K

PnL

+$155.41

Record

54%

51866-43791 (95657)

nobody2somebody

BetBoom Team

Invested

$2,500

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$31.17

Record

52%

589-549 (1138)

puntobigbossCTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$1,442.71

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$16.18

Record

67%

65-32 (97)

relativesignificanceCTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$781.92

Value

$793.42

PnL

+$11.5

Record

58%

77-55 (132)

0xC9BFc7986767173b4f1c3FC9B2c6b255FCTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$514.43

Value

$522

PnL

+$7.57

Record

54%

116-97 (213)

zxc368

BetBoom Team

Invested

$473.8

Value

$474.03

PnL

+$0.24

Record

99%

10810-156 (10966)

jakepaulthegoat2008CTR

Natus Vincere

Invested

$440.74

Value

$460.77

PnL

+$20.03

Record

49%

7208-7354 (14562)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR<$100

Natus Vincere

Invested

$26.32

Value

$27.52

PnL

+$1.2

Record

53%

5255-4588 (9843)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542CTR<$100

Natus Vincere

Invested

$18.97

Value

$20.45

PnL

+$1.48

Record

47%

2260-2508 (4768)

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Spread or totalSpreads and totals: −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that BetBoom Team wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.