Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was PRIVATE — but Alliance won instead.
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs
Resolved Alliance. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held PRIVATE. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
PRIVATE 71%
$252.56
$-1.7K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TG tghj20CTR | PRIVATEavg 44.2¢ | $895.02 | — | -$895.02 | 42% 83-114 (197) |
KA KaczkaCTR | PRIVATEavg 50.3¢ | $574.31 | — | -$574.31 | 50% 522-523 (1045) |
31 319113331313111CTR | PRIVATEavg 47.1¢ | $301.88 | — | -$301.88 | 58% 475-342 (817) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Allianceavg 57.5¢ | $207.56 | $207.56 | +$88.23 | 56% 39461-31112 (70573) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100 | Allianceavg 52.3¢ | $60 | $45 | +$17.85 | 52% 6055-5585 (11640) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | PRIVATEavg 40.2¢ | $85.99 | — | -$34.55 | 50% 23482-23489 (46971) |
 ocr7CTR<$100 | PRIVATEavg 50¢ | $2.14 | — | -$2.14 | 54% 1410-1180 (2590) |
Invested
$895.02
Value
—
PnL
-$895.02
Record
42%
83-114 (197)
Invested
$574.31
Value
—
PnL
-$574.31
Record
50%
522-523 (1045)
Invested
$301.88
Value
—
PnL
-$301.88
Record
58%
475-342 (817)
Invested
$207.56
Value
$207.56
PnL
+$88.23
Record
56%
39461-31112 (70573)
Invested
$60
Value
$45
PnL
+$17.85
Record
52%
6055-5585 (11640)
Invested
$85.99
Value
—
PnL
-$34.55
Record
50%
23482-23489 (46971)
ocr7CTR<$100Invested
$2.14
Value
—
PnL
-$2.14
Record
54%
1410-1180 (2590)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
tghj20
CTRPRIVATE — $0
Kaczka
CTRPRIVATE — $0
319113331313111
CTRPRIVATE — $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Alliance — $207.56
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
Alliance — $45
omnibus-076daa
CTRPRIVATE — $0
ocr7
CTRPRIVATE — $0