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Alliance
poshposh<$100Alliance
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fAlliance
Future-Tarot-Trader<$100AllianceFour MagicAlliance
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Alliance — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Alliance
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Four Magic - Map 1 Winner
Resolved Alliance. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Alliance. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Alliance 80%
Total Value
$615.83
Combined PnL
$80.06
Smart Money Signal
Alliance
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Alliance100%
Four Magic0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Alliance5 traders
Total Value$615.83
Total Shares616
Combined PnL+$181.89
Four Magic1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares410
Combined PnL-$101.83
Alliance — 83%Four Magic — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 319113331313111 | Allianceavg 69.8¢ | $815 | $468.07 | +$118.57 | 57% 110-82 (192) |
poshposh<$100 | Allianceavg 66.5¢ | $76.91 | $83.29 | +$6.38 | 47% 522-581 (1103) |
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f | Allianceavg 73.1¢ | $570.58 | $39.14 | +$49.05 | 65% 101-54 (155) |
Future-Tarot-Trader<$100 | Allianceavg 66.3¢ | $92.13 | $25.28 | +$7.89 | 49% 89-91 (180) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Four Magicavg 24.8¢ | $101.83 | — | -$101.83 | 37% 534-922 (1456) |
NO NotJump | Allianceavg 50¢ | $262.5 | $0.05 | +$0 | 54% 439-373 (812) |
31
319113331313111Invested
$815
Value
$468.07
PnL
+$118.57
Record
57%
110-82 (192)
poshposh<$100Invested
$76.91
Value
$83.29
PnL
+$6.38
Record
47%
522-581 (1103)
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fInvested
$570.58
Value
$39.14
PnL
+$49.05
Record
65%
101-54 (155)
Future-Tarot-Trader<$100Invested
$92.13
Value
$25.28
PnL
+$7.89
Record
49%
89-91 (180)
TO
topdogbigboiCTRInvested
$101.83
Value
—
PnL
-$101.83
Record
37%
534-922 (1456)
NO
NotJumpInvested
$262.5
Value
$0.05
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
439-373 (812)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa67cdad7...d2d710
Slug
cs2-all-4m1-2026-11-12-game1