Counter-Strike: aimclub vs 9INE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs

5 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold 9INE (50%) · 9INE at 53¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 9

aimclub48¢9INE52¢Ends Mon, Nov 9, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

9INE

Consensus Traders

9INE 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.5K

Combined PnL

-$765.82

Smart Money Entry

69.9¢ → 52.5¢

-25% since entry · 4 traders

Research grade

Neutral9INE at 53%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

9INE

5 of 10 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

aimclub48%

9INE53%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

9INE5 traders

Total Value$2.3K

Total Shares4,460

Combined PnL-$812.44

aimclub5 traders

Total Value$157.36

Total Shares418

Combined PnL+$46.63

9INE — 50%aimclub — 50%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 98%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

83% of non-arb traders are on 9INE. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 98% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whale9INE 100% · 1

Aligned

ctr9INE 83% · 6

Aligned

Top 10009INE 83% · 6

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LL lllllllIlll	9INEavg 70¢	$3.0K	$2.2K	-$799.7	54% 333-281 (614)
GT gt7238ARB<$100	9INEavg 52.2¢	$669.86	$837.96	+$168.1	45% 703-875 (1578)
└ 9INE leg	9INEavg 52.2¢	$487.44	$629.96	+$142.52
└ aimclub leg	aimclubavg 28.5¢	$182.42	$208	+$25.58
31 319113331313111ARB<$100	9INEavg 62.5¢	$3.1K	$185.98	-$246.72	58% 518-378 (896)
└ 9INE leg	9INEavg 62.5¢	$153.62	$128.98	-$354.54
└ aimclub leg	aimclubavg 46¢	$55.17	$57	+$107.82
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	aimclubavg 14¢	$21.26	$74.41	+$53.15	50% 24147-24262 (48409)
38 38791873984189<$100	9INEavg 70¢	$52.05	$38.3	-$13.76	48% 72263-78012 (150275)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	aimclubavg 35.9¢	$28.53	$35.98	+$7.45	50% 66284-66816 (133100)
LR lryyy<$100	9INEavg 64.2¢	$31.89	$30.4	-$1.49	48% 40329-43288 (83617)
CA calculate10CTR<$100	aimclubavg 37.9¢	$60.21	$25.29	-$16.92	54% 1398-1200 (2598)
XJ xjansfsaCTR<$100	aimclubavg 13¢	$17.56	$18.23	+$0.68	56% 28-22 (50)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	9INEavg 65¢	$13	$10.5	-$2.5	52% 6205-5726 (11931)
SE sentrio<$100	9INE	$5	$5	+$5	51% 28858-28213 (57071)
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100	aimclubavg 14.6¢	$1.17	$3.44	+$2.27	52% 1655-1501 (3156)

lllllllIlll

9INE

Invested

$3,025.91

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$799.7

Record

54%

333-281 (614)

gt7238ARB<$100

9INE

Invested

$669.86

Value

$837.96

PnL

+$168.1

Record

45%

703-875 (1578)

Both legs:

9INE$487.4452.2¢+$142.52

aimclub$182.4228.5¢+$25.58

319113331313111ARB<$100

9INE

Invested

$3,065.9

Value

$185.98

PnL

-$246.72

Record

58%

518-378 (896)

Both legs:

9INE$153.6262.5¢-$354.54

aimclub$55.1746¢+$107.82

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

aimclub

Invested

$21.26

Value

$74.41

PnL

+$53.15

Record

50%

24147-24262 (48409)

38791873984189<$100

9INE

Invested

$52.05

Value

$38.3

PnL

-$13.76

Record

48%

72263-78012 (150275)

cigarettesCTR<$100

aimclub

Invested

$28.53

Value

$35.98

PnL

+$7.45

Record

50%

66284-66816 (133100)

lryyy<$100

9INE

Invested

$31.89

Value

$30.4

PnL

-$1.49

Record

48%

40329-43288 (83617)

calculate10CTR<$100

aimclub

Invested

$60.21

Value

$25.29

PnL

-$16.92

Record

54%

1398-1200 (2598)

xjansfsaCTR<$100

aimclub

Invested

$17.56

Value

$18.23

PnL

+$0.68

Record

56%

28-22 (50)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

9INE

Invested

$13

Value

$10.5

PnL

-$2.5

Record

52%

6205-5726 (11931)

sentrio<$100

9INE

Invested

Value

PnL

+$5

Record

51%

28858-28213 (57071)

lonmi2511CTR<$100

aimclub

Invested

$1.17

Value

$3.44

PnL

+$2.27

Record

52%

1655-1501 (3156)

Research grade

Neutral9INE at 53%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

9INE

5 of 10 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 98%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

83% of non-arb traders are on 9INE. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 98% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whale9INE 100% · 1

Aligned

ctr9INE 83% · 6

Aligned

Top 10009INE 83% · 6

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that 9INE wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance54.7%

52.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$82.67

Max Loss

-$100.00

182.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.