Counter-Strike: 33 vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

3 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold 33 (33%) · 33 at 70¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 15

3370¢GenOne30¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Consensus Traders

33 33%

Total Value

$3.0K

Combined PnL

$31.89

Smart Money Entry

65.6¢ → 69.5¢

+6% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

Neutral33 at 70%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

3370%

GenOne31%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

333 traders

Total Value$1.7K

Total Shares2,415

Combined PnL+$86.18

GenOne6 traders

Total Value$1.3K

Total Shares3,919

Combined PnL-$54.29

33 — 33%GenOne — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
WI Wiretransferxyz	33avg 65¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$72.7	56% 390-306 (696)
JU JuiceFarmCTR	GenOneavg 35¢	$629.98	$593.99	-$36	59% 42-29 (71)
VI vibing123	33avg 67¢	$485.59	$496.46	+$10.87	62% 1130-685 (1815)
38 38791873984189CTR	GenOneavg 34¢	$340.31	$329.91	-$10.41	48% 3192-3494 (6686)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	GenOneavg 33.7¢	$276.4	$270.81	-$5.59	37% 996-1673 (2669)
poshposhCTR<$100	GenOneavg 33¢	$60.27	$60.27	+$0	48% 1079-1157 (2236)
MA manoamano<$100	33avg 66¢	$49.23	$51.84	+$2.61	55% 29-24 (53)
0X 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69CTR<$100	GenOneavg 33¢	$26.22	$25.03	-$1.19	51% 153-149 (302)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	GenOneavg 36¢	$13.32	$12.21	-$1.11	53% 7022-6168 (13190)

Wiretransferxyz

Invested

$1,050.13

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$72.7

Record

56%

390-306 (696)

JuiceFarmCTR

GenOne

Invested

$629.98

Value

$593.99

PnL

-$36

Record

59%

42-29 (71)

vibing123

Invested

$485.59

Value

$496.46

PnL

+$10.87

Record

62%

1130-685 (1815)

38791873984189CTR

GenOne

Invested

$340.31

Value

$329.91

PnL

-$10.41

Record

48%

3192-3494 (6686)

topdogbigboiCTR

GenOne

Invested

$276.4

Value

$270.81

PnL

-$5.59

Record

37%

996-1673 (2669)

poshposhCTR<$100

GenOne

Invested

$60.27

Value

$60.27

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

1079-1157 (2236)

manoamano<$100

Invested

$49.23

Value

$51.84

PnL

+$2.61

Record

55%

29-24 (53)

0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69CTR<$100

GenOne

Invested

$26.22

Value

$25.03

PnL

-$1.19

Record

51%

153-149 (302)

cigarettesCTR<$100

GenOne

Invested

$13.32

Value

$12.21

PnL

-$1.11

Record

53%

7022-6168 (13190)

Research grade

Neutral33 at 70%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that 33 wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance71.5%

69.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$39.78

Max Loss

-$100.00

139.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.