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tradecraftNo
dips.NoNoYes
probabilityCTR<$100YesNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Zimbabwe win?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 60%
Total Value
$9.7K
Combined PnL
$1.9K
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$9.7K
Total Shares9,666
Combined PnL+$2.0K
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares295
Combined PnL-$112.18
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
tradecraft | Noavg 70.9¢ | $6.4K | $7.7K | +$1.4K | 51% 6933-6582 (13515) |
dips. | Noavg 71¢ | $1.3K | $1.8K | +$566 | 48% 17828-19546 (37374) |
38 38791873984189 | Noavg 81.9¢ | $118.59 | $120.67 | +$2.09 | 48% 72230-77977 (150207) |
SU SunlineTickerCTR<$100 | Yesavg 28¢ | $95.19 | — | -$97.74 | 54% 5399-4606 (10005) |
probabilityCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.4¢ | $5.26 | — | -$14.44 | 38% 1810-2977 (4787) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100 | Noavg 96.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 22% 657-2369 (3026) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 68.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 47657-54240 (101897) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 96.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 66281-66811 (133092) |
tradecraftInvested
$6,436.36
Value
$7.7K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
51%
6933-6582 (13515)
dips.Invested
$1,332.3
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$566
Record
48%
17828-19546 (37374)
38
38791873984189Invested
$118.59
Value
$120.67
PnL
+$2.09
Record
48%
72230-77977 (150207)
SU
SunlineTickerCTR<$100Invested
$95.19
Value
—
PnL
-$97.74
Record
54%
5399-4606 (10005)
probabilityCTR<$100Invested
$5.26
Value
—
PnL
-$14.44
Record
38%
1810-2977 (4787)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
657-2369 (3026)
QW
qwen300.fund<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
47657-54240 (101897)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
66281-66811 (133092)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x395733ee...b5b842
Slug
crint-afg-zwe-2026-11-05-zwe