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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Sint Maarten — but French Guiana won instead.
Spread: French Guiana (-1.5)
Resolved French Guiana. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Sint Maarten. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Sint Maarten 50%
Total Value
$435.17
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Sint Maarten
3 of 5 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
French Guiana100%
Sint Maarten0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f47578b...dde73b
Slug
conl-sxm-guy-2026-11-14-spread-away-1pt5