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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Union Magdalena win on 2026-11-05?
Resolved No. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 36%
Total Value
$333.49
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 11 top traders (36%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x75307cdb...5bd67e
Slug
col2-umg-ind-2026-11-05-umg