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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Union Magdalena win on 2026-10-29?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 80%
Total Value
$32
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x229d8ed6...65a9f8
Slug
col2-boc-umg-2026-10-29-umg