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RN1OverOverOverOverUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Alianza FC vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 20%
Total Value
$721.93
Combined PnL
-$16.77
Smart Money Signal
Under
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$721.93
Total Shares722
Combined PnL+$340.92
Under1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares632
Combined PnL-$357.69
Over β 80%Under β 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1 | Overavg 43Β’ | $596.28 | $596.28 | +$339.88 | 53% 70327-61884 (132211) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Overavg 44Β’ | $70.7 | $70.7 | -$0.32 | 47% 2196-2511 (4707) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Overavg 44Β’ | $30 | $30 | -$0.13 | 52% 9544-8673 (18217) |
AR ARocky33<$100 | Overavg 94Β’ | $24.95 | $24.95 | +$1.5 | 76% 4924-1523 (6447) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 56.6Β’ | $631.94 | β | -$357.69 | 50% 33004-33062 (66066) |
RN1Invested
$596.28
Value
$596.28
PnL
+$339.88
Record
53%
70327-61884 (132211)
MA
MadridTime<$100Invested
$70.7
Value
$70.7
PnL
-$0.32
Record
47%
2196-2511 (4707)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$30
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.13
Record
52%
9544-8673 (18217)
AR
ARocky33<$100Invested
$24.95
Value
$24.95
PnL
+$1.5
Record
76%
4924-1523 (6447)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$631.94
Value
β
PnL
-$357.69
Record
50%
33004-33062 (66066)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6f2d7f13...2154bb
Slug
col1-alf-llf-2026-11-08-total-2pt5