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No
clazzy1CTRNo
Anjun<$100YesYes
IstarothCTR<$100No Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was No β but Yes won instead.

Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$849.88
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,677
Combined PnL-$849.88
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No β 60%Yes β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnapElectionAvoiderCTR | Noavg 29.2Β’ | $350.6 | β | -$554.43 | 53% 1131-1016 (2147) |
![]() clazzy1CTR | Noavg 61.7Β’ | $295.45 | β | -$295.45 | 62% 385-237 (622) |
![]() Anjun<$100 | Yesavg 75Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 55% 4900-3963 (8863) |
KL klli27<$100 | Yesavg 38Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 32% 313-674 (987) |
![]() IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 79.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 21% 300-1140 (1440) |
SN
SnapElectionAvoiderCTRInvested
$350.6
Value
β
PnL
-$554.43
Record
53%
1131-1016 (2147)
clazzy1CTRInvested
$295.45
Value
β
PnL
-$295.45
Record
62%
385-237 (622)
Anjun<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
4900-3963 (8863)
KL
klli27<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
313-674 (987)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
300-1140 (1440)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0fe18d8c...d52115
Slug
cl-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-30-2026-0pt96