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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Yanbian Longding win on 2026-11-07?

Resolved No. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Yes 20%

Total Value

$2.0K

Combined PnL

$-1.0K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 12 top traders (17%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No10 traders
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares1,984
Combined PnL+$458.69
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,596
Combined PnL$-1.5K
No — 83%Yes — 17%
GO
GoalLineGhost
No

Invested

$1,007.19

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$252.71

Record

50%

28899-28703 (57602)

rayvanmechelenCTR
Yes

Invested

$924.49

Value

—

PnL

-$924.49

Record

53%

2691-2371 (5062)

tradecraft
No

Invested

$249.43

Value

$345.1

PnL

+$95.67

Record

51%

6510-6274 (12784)

dips.
No

Invested

$158.95

Value

$204.43

PnL

+$45.48

Record

47%

11000-12618 (23618)

OM
omnibus-076daa<$100
No

Invested

$68.12

Value

$88.12

PnL

+$20.01

Record

50%

21534-21823 (43357)

NO
Notradecopy<$100
No

Invested

$25.62

Value

$62.48

PnL

+$36.86

Record

48%

4049-4326 (8375)

BA
Bayupati<$100
No

Invested

$6.79

Value

$13.52

PnL

+$6.73

Record

49%

267-278 (545)

0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100
No

Invested

$3.26

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.74

Record

59%

33210-23381 (56591)

LR
lryyy<$100
No

Invested

$2.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.5

Record

47%

9540-10662 (20202)

WI
Winning2...CTR
Yes

Invested

$1,999.91

Value

—

PnL

-$554.95

Record

33%

1168-2399 (3567)

AH
aHjCz
No

Invested

$169.6

Value

—

PnL

-$3.01

Record

36%

6028-10813 (16841)

VeryLucky888<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

47475-34259 (81734)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xf34b9381...6089eb
Slug
chi2-yan-shi-2026-11-07-yan

Traders in this Market

GO

GoalLineGhost

No — $1.3K

+$252.71

rayvanmechelen

CTR

Yes — $0

-$924.49

tradecraft

No — $345.1

+$95.67

dips.

No — $204.43

+$45.48
OM

omnibus-076daa

No — $88.12

+$20.01
NO

Notradecopy

No — $62.48

+$36.86
BA

Bayupati

No — $13.52

+$6.73
0X

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

No — $5

+$1.74
LR

lryyy

No — $5

+$2.5
WI

Winning2...

CTR

Yes — $0

-$554.95
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