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Over
RN1CTROver
poshposh<$100UnderOver
HRTradingCTR<$100Over Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.
Suzhou Dongwu vs. Yanbian Longding: O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 80%
Total Value
$241.79
Combined PnL
-$368.54
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$226.44
Total Shares967
Combined PnL-$371.61
Under1 trader
Total Value$15.35
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$3.07
Over β 80%Under β 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 49Β’ | $347.09 | $207.02 | -$140.07 | 50% 25095-24835 (49930) |
![]() RN1CTR | Overavg 54Β’ | $235.34 | $19.42 | -$215.92 | 54% 56596-48765 (105361) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Underavg 80Β’ | $12.28 | $15.35 | +$3.07 | 59% 10160-7156 (17316) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Overavg 20Β’ | $12.47 | β | -$12.47 | 49% 19156-19549 (38705) |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Overavg 70Β’ | $3.15 | β | -$3.15 | 53% 4616-4152 (8768) |
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$347.09
Value
$207.02
PnL
-$140.07
Record
50%
25095-24835 (49930)
RN1CTRInvested
$235.34
Value
$19.42
PnL
-$215.92
Record
54%
56596-48765 (105361)
poshposh<$100Invested
$12.28
Value
$15.35
PnL
+$3.07
Record
59%
10160-7156 (17316)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
$12.47
Value
β
PnL
-$12.47
Record
49%
19156-19549 (38705)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
β
PnL
-$3.15
Record
53%
4616-4152 (8768)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x27deeab8...1f027b
Slug
chi2-sud-yan-2026-10-31-total-1pt5