Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
Foshan Nanshi FC vs. Ningbo Professional FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Over. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 43%
$1.4K
-$791.8
Smart Money Signal
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SA Saber-greed | Overavg 45Β’ | $529.7 | $1.2K | +$647.41 | 59% 2554-1782 (4336) |
![]() VeryLucky888 | Overavg 31.7Β’ | $47.5 | $103.29 | +$73.71 | 58% 41902-30424 (72326) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Overavg 83Β’ | $45.7 | $55.06 | +$9.36 | 59% 10160-7156 (17316) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Overavg 37Β’ | $5.41 | $14.62 | +$9.21 | 49% 19156-19549 (38705) |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 58Β’ | $5.52 | $3 | -$2.52 | 53% 4616-4152 (8768) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 60Β’ | $10 | $0.01 | -$0.66 | 77% 3308-1004 (4312) |
![]() RN1CTR | Underavg 55Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-1.5K | 54% 56596-48765 (105361) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 68Β’ | $68 | β | -$68 | 50% 25095-24835 (49930) |
Invested
$529.7
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$647.41
Record
59%
2554-1782 (4336)
VeryLucky888Invested
$47.5
Value
$103.29
PnL
+$73.71
Record
58%
41902-30424 (72326)
poshposh<$100Invested
$45.7
Value
$55.06
PnL
+$9.36
Record
59%
10160-7156 (17316)
Invested
$5.41
Value
$14.62
PnL
+$9.21
Record
49%
19156-19549 (38705)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$5.52
Value
$3
PnL
-$2.52
Record
53%
4616-4152 (8768)
Invested
$10
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$0.66
Record
77%
3308-1004 (4312)
RN1CTRInvested
$1,460.31
Value
β
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
54%
56596-48765 (105361)
Invested
$68
Value
β
PnL
-$68
Record
50%
25095-24835 (49930)
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