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MarylandWisconsinMarylandWisconsinWisconsin
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Wisconsin — but Maryland won instead.
Spread: Maryland (-2.5)
Resolved Maryland. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Wisconsin. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Wisconsin 60%
Total Value
$17.15
Combined PnL
-$11.11
Smart Money Signal
Wisconsin
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Maryland100%
Wisconsin0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Maryland2 traders
Total Value$17.15
Total Shares17
Combined PnL+$5.69
Wisconsin3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares27
Combined PnL-$16.8
Maryland — 40%Wisconsin — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Marylandavg 89¢ | $10.22 | $11.48 | +$1.26 | 47% 540-597 (1137) |
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100 | Wisconsinavg 71¢ | $11.11 | — | -$11.11 | 50% 3807-3776 (7583) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Marylandavg 22¢ | $1.25 | $5.67 | +$4.42 | 38% 1060-1756 (2816) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Wisconsinavg 11¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 37% 1116-1869 (2985) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Wisconsinavg 78¢ | $4.42 | — | -$4.42 | 53% 1854-1648 (3502) |
JU
justaluckydude<$100Invested
$10.22
Value
$11.48
PnL
+$1.26
Record
47%
540-597 (1137)
65
6512395314597884CTR<$100Invested
$11.11
Value
—
PnL
-$11.11
Record
50%
3807-3776 (7583)
MA
MadridTime<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
$5.67
PnL
+$4.42
Record
38%
1060-1756 (2816)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
37%
1116-1869 (2985)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$4.42
Value
—
PnL
-$4.42
Record
53%
1854-1648 (3502)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe8286b68...185e4a
Slug
cfb-wisc-mary-2026-11-14-spread-home-2pt5