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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Wisconsin — but Maryland won instead.

Spread: Wisconsin (-4.5)

Resolved Maryland. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Wisconsin. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Wisconsin 63%

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$74.54

Smart Money Signal

Wisconsin

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Wisconsin0%

Maryland100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Maryland4 traders

Total Value$2.3K

Total Shares2,283

Combined PnL+$1.4K

Wisconsin5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,371

Combined PnL$-1.5K

Maryland — 44%Wisconsin — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PR primm	Marylandavg 38.5¢	$804.74	$2.1K	+$1.3K	59% 932-653 (1585)
38 38791873984189CTR	Wisconsinavg 61.9¢	$704.42	—	-$699.42	48% 3273-3600 (6873)
RN1CTR	Wisconsinavg 60.9¢	$574.49	—	-$574.49	55% 5455-4439 (9894)
65 6512395314597884CTR	Wisconsinavg 61.2¢	$135.17	—	-$135.17	50% 3807-3776 (7583)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Wisconsinavg 60.9¢	$61.43	—	-$61.43	50% 1601-1625 (3226)
OM omnibus-076daa	Marylandavg 40¢	$48.4	$121	+$72.6	45% 509-610 (1119)
AM AmericaFirst1<$100	Marylandavg 39.5¢	$28.08	$71.12	+$43.04	47% 100-111 (211)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Wisconsinavg 62¢	$6.25	—	-$6.25	53% 1854-1648 (3502)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Marylandavg 50¢	$800	—	+$0	69% 134-60 (194)

Invested

$804.74

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

59%

932-653 (1585)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$704.42

Value

—

PnL

-$699.42

Record

48%

3273-3600 (6873)

Invested

$574.49

Value

—

PnL

-$574.49

Record

55%

5455-4439 (9894)

6512395314597884CTR

Invested

$135.17

Value

—

PnL

-$135.17

Record

50%

3807-3776 (7583)

Invested

$61.43

Value

—

PnL

-$61.43

Record

50%

1601-1625 (3226)

Invested

$48.4

Value

$121

PnL

+$72.6

Record

45%

509-610 (1119)

AmericaFirst1<$100

Invested

$28.08

Value

$71.12

PnL

+$43.04

Record

47%

100-111 (211)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

$6.25

Value

—

PnL

-$6.25

Record

53%

1854-1648 (3502)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Invested

$800

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

134-60 (194)

Smart Money Signal

Wisconsin

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xef7fc500...589231

Slug

cfb-wisc-mary-2026-11-14-spread-away-4pt5

Traders in this Market

primm

Maryland — $2.1K

38791873984189

Wisconsin — $0

RN1

Wisconsin — $0

6512395314597884

Wisconsin — $0

Pan9X

Wisconsin — $0

omnibus-076daa

Maryland — $121

AmericaFirst1

Maryland — $71.12

ghorrock

Wisconsin — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

Maryland — $0

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