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MarylandWisconsinWisconsinWisconsinMaryland
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Wisconsin — but Maryland won instead.
Spread: Wisconsin (-13.5)
Resolved Maryland. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Wisconsin. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Wisconsin 75%
Total Value
$50
Combined PnL
-$1.99
Smart Money Signal
Wisconsin
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Wisconsin0%
Maryland100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Maryland2 traders
Total Value$50
Total Shares50
Combined PnL+$23.75
Wisconsin3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares83
Combined PnL-$25.74
Maryland — 40%Wisconsin — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PR primm<$100 | Marylandavg 52.5¢ | $26.25 | $50 | +$23.75 | 59% 932-653 (1585) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Wisconsinavg 30.3¢ | $15.02 | — | -$15.02 | 50% 1601-1625 (3226) |
65 6512395314597884CTR<$100 | Wisconsinavg 26.9¢ | $6.5 | — | -$6.5 | 50% 3807-3776 (7583) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Wisconsinavg 47¢ | $4.23 | — | -$4.23 | 47% 540-597 (1137) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Marylandavg 50¢ | $600 | — | +$0 | 69% 134-60 (194) |
PR
primm<$100Invested
$26.25
Value
$50
PnL
+$23.75
Record
59%
932-653 (1585)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$15.02
Value
—
PnL
-$15.02
Record
50%
1601-1625 (3226)
65
6512395314597884CTR<$100Invested
$6.5
Value
—
PnL
-$6.5
Record
50%
3807-3776 (7583)
JU
justaluckydudeCTR<$100Invested
$4.23
Value
—
PnL
-$4.23
Record
47%
540-597 (1137)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$600
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
134-60 (194)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x282deebb...24a8cc
Slug
cfb-wisc-mary-2026-11-14-spread-away-13pt5