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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Wisconsin — but Iowa won instead.
Spread: Iowa (-4.5)
Resolved Iowa. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Wisconsin. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Wisconsin 50%
Total Value
$0.12
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Wisconsin
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Iowa100%
Wisconsin0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7619a91b...a97271
Slug
cfb-wisc-iowa-2026-10-31-spread-home-4pt5